AZ
AZ Alkmaar
L
W
L
W
W
2-1
VS
SPA
Sparta Prague
L
L
W
D
W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing AZ Alkmaar to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~90% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 78%
Strong Pick
⚠
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees ·
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GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
1X — AZ Alkmaar to win or draw
@1.28
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+11.9%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 78.1% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +11.9% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
| Strategy | % of bankroll | e.g. $1,000 |
|---|---|---|
| Full Kelly | 54.3% | $543.00 |
| Half Kelly | 27.2% | $272.00 |
| Quarter Kelly | 13.6% | $136.00 |
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
AZ Alkmaar
L
W
L
W
W
〰 Mixed
2 in a row
Sparta Prague
L
L
W
D
W
〰 Mixed
1 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed
No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar wins3/5
Sparta Prague wins2/5
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals—
Supports Tip
AZ Alkmaar unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent games.
3-0-2
AZ Alkmaar form
2-1-2
Sparta Prague form
—
H2H BTTS rate
—
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
AZ Alkmaar
2
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Sparta Prague
1.6
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Combination Markets
Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
28%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
33%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
22%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Match History
Head to Head
Awaiting data.
Recent Results
AZ Alkmaar
⚽ ERE (07.03.26): PSV
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
⚽ KNV (04.03.26): AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
2
1
⚽ ERE (01.03.26): Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
⚽ UECL (26.02.26): AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
4
0
⚽ ERE (22.02.26): AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
Sparta Prague
⚽ 1L (08.03.26): Slavia Prague
Sparta Prague
3
1
⚽ CUP (03.03.26): Mlada Boleslav
Sparta Prague (4-2)
1
0
⚽ 1L (28.02.26): Sparta Prague
Ostrava
5
2
⚽ 1L (22.02.26): Viktoria Plzeň
Sparta Prague
0
0
⚽ 1L (15.02.26): Sparta Prague
Hradec Kralove
2
0
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague?
Our top pick is 1X — AZ Alkmaar to win or draw at around 1.28. Confidence: 78%.
What is AZ Alkmaar's recent form?
AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Sparta Prague been performing?
Sparta Prague: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals.