CEL
Celta Vigo
L
W
W
W
W
1-1
VS
LYO
Lyon
D
L
L
L
W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Celta Vigo to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
~80% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 82%
Strong Pick
⚠
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees ·
GambleAware ·
GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
1X — Celta Vigo to win or draw
@1.35
Goals
Over 1.5
90%
Both Teams To Score
BTTS — Yes
70%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+5.9%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 74.1% but our model gives it 80%. That's a +5.9% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
| Strategy | % of bankroll | e.g. $1,000 |
|---|---|---|
| Full Kelly | 22.9% | $229.00 |
| Half Kelly | 11.5% | $115.00 |
| Quarter Kelly | 5.7% | $57.00 |
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Celta Vigo
L
W
W
W
W
🔥 Hot
4 in a row
Lyon
D
D
L
L
W
〰 Mixed
1 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
Celta Vigo1W
Draw0
Lyon0W
Supports Tip
Celta Vigo unbeaten in 1 of 1 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Celta Vigo wins4/5
Lyon wins1/5
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals1
Supports Tip
Celta Vigo unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent games.
4-0-1
Celta Vigo form
1-2-2
Lyon form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
Celta Vigo
1.6
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Lyon
1.6
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Combination Markets
Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
47%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
40%
Home Win & Under 2.5
27%
Draw & Over 2.5
10%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ CF (29.07.23): Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
0
Recent Results
Celta Vigo
⚽ LL (06.03.26): Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
⚽ LL (01.03.26): Girona
Celta Vigo
1
2
⚽ EL (26.02.26): Celta Vigo
PAOK (3-1)
1
0
⚽ LL (22.02.26): Celta Vigo
Mallorca
2
0
⚽ EL (19.02.26): PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
2
Lyon
⚽ L1 (08.03.26): Lyon
Paris FC
1
1
⚽ CDF (05.03.26): Lyon
Lens (5-4)
2
2
⚽ L1 (01.03.26): Marseille
Lyon
3
2
⚽ L1 (22.02.26): Strasbourg
Lyon
3
1
⚽ L1 (15.02.26): Lyon
Nice
2
0
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Lyon?
Our top pick is 1X — Celta Vigo to win or draw at around 1.35. Confidence: 82%.
What is Celta Vigo's recent form?
Celta Vigo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 — very good form.
How has Lyon been performing?
Lyon: 1W 2D 2L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Celta Vigo 1 wins vs Lyon's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.