ACF
ACF Fiorentina
D
L
L
W
W
2-1
VS
RAK
Rakow
W
W
L
W
D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~100% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 84%
Strong Pick
⚠
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GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
@1.28
Both Teams To Score
BTTS — No
70%
ACF Fiorentina Clean Sheet
Home CS
60%
Rakow Clean Sheet
Away CS
60%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+21.9%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 78.1% but our model gives it 100%. That's a +21.9% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
| Strategy | % of bankroll | e.g. $1,000 |
|---|---|---|
| Full Kelly | 100% | $1,000.00 |
| Half Kelly | 50% | $500.00 |
| Quarter Kelly | 25% | $250.00 |
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
ACF Fiorentina
D
L
L
W
W
〰 Mixed
2 in a row
Rakow
W
W
L
W
D
〰 Mixed
1 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed
No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
ACF Fiorentina wins2/5
Rakow wins3/5
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals—
Supports Tip
Over 1.5 goals in 60% of recent games.
2-1-2
ACF Fiorentina form
3-1-1
Rakow form
—
H2H BTTS rate
—
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
ACF Fiorentina
1.2
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Rakow
1.6
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Combination Markets
Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
10%
Home Win & BTTS No
23%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
17%
Home Win & Under 2.5
17%
Draw & Over 2.5
9%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
25%
Away Win & Under 2.5
25%
Match History
Head to Head
Awaiting data.
Recent Results
ACF Fiorentina
⚽ SA (08.03.26): Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
⚽ SA (02.03.26): Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
⚽ UECL (26.02.26): Fiorentina
Jagiellonia (5-4)
2
4
⚽ SA (23.02.26): Fiorentina
Pisa
1
0
⚽ UECL (19.02.26): Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0
3
Rakow
⚽ EKS (08.03.26): Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
⚽ CUP (05.03.26): Avia Swidnik
Rakow (AET)
1
2
⚽ EKS (01.03.26): Lech Poznan
Rakow
4
3
⚽ EKS (21.02.26): Rakow
Termalica B-B.
1
0
⚽ EKS (14.02.26): Zaglebie
Rakow
0
0
Expert Analysis
On Thursday, 12th March 2026, ACF Fiorentina host Rakow in UEFA Conference League. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.
ACF Fiorentina come into this showing mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Rakow are inconsistent on the road — 3W 1D 1L in 5 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1 per match.
With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for ACF Fiorentina vs Rakow?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.28. Confidence: 84%.
What is ACF Fiorentina's recent form?
ACF Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 — inconsistent.
How has Rakow been performing?
Rakow: 3W 1D 1L from 5 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals.