Tip LOST  ·  Qatar SC 2-0 Al Gharafa
🏆 Qatar QSL 📅 Thursday, 12th March 2026
QAT
Qatar SC
W L D W L
2-0
VS
AL
Al Gharafa
W L L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.45
~100% implied
Confidence
91%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.45
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
H2H Over 2.5 100%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+31%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 69% but our model gives it 100%. That's a +31% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 100% $1,000.00
Half Kelly 50% $500.00
Quarter Kelly 25% $250.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Qatar SC
W L D W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Al Gharafa
W L L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Qatar SC2W
Draw0
Al Gharafa3W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 4.6).
📈 Recent Form
Qatar SC wins2/5
Al Gharafa wins2/5
Goals per game4.1
H2H avg goals4.6
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of recent games.
2-2-1
Qatar SC form
2-0-3
Al Gharafa form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
4.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Qatar SC
Overall
5.2
Scoring
8.7
Defence
2.7
Al Gharafa
Overall
4.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.0
Key Analytics
Qatar SC
2.6
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Al Gharafa
1
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ QSC (19.01.26): Qatar SC
Al-Gharafa
3
2
⚽ QSL (07.11.25): Al-Gharafa
Qatar SC
2
1
⚽ QSL (22.02.25): Al-Gharafa
Qatar SC
4
2
⚽ QSL (22.09.24): Qatar SC
Al-Gharafa
1
3
⚽ EMI (19.05.24): Al-Gharafa
Qatar SC
2
3
Recent Results
Qatar SC
⚽ QSL (20.02.26): Al-Shahaniya
Qatar SC
3
4
⚽ EMI (13.02.26): Al-Shamal
Qatar SC
2
1
⚽ QSL (06.02.26): Qatar SC
Al Rayyan
3
3
⚽ QSL (31.01.26): Al Ahli Doha
Qatar SC
1
3
⚽ QSC (26.01.26): Al Arabi
Qatar SC (12-11)
2
2
Al Gharafa
⚽ QSL (26.02.26): Al-Gharafa
Al Rayyan
3
2
⚽ QSL (22.02.26): Al-Gharafa
Al-Shamal
0
1
⚽ CL (17.02.26): Al-Gharafa
Tractor
0
2
⚽ EMI (14.02.26): Al-Gharafa
Al-Kharitiyath
2
0
⚽ CL (10.02.26): Al Ittihad
Al-Gharafa
7
0
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, Qatar SC host Al Gharafa in Qatar QSL. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Qatar SC come into this showing mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Al Gharafa are inconsistent on the road — 2W 0D 3L in 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, Qatar SC have won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Al Gharafa, who have taken 3 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 4.6 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.45 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.45. Confidence: 91%.
What is Qatar SC's recent form?
Qatar SC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 — inconsistent.
How has Al Gharafa been performing?
Al Gharafa: 2W 0D 3L from 5 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Qatar SC 2 wins vs Al Gharafa's 3, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 4.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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