✓ Tip WON  ·  ACF Fiorentina 2-1 Rakow
🏆 UEFA Conference League 📅 Thursday, 12th March 2026
ACF
ACF Fiorentina
D L L W W
2-1
VS
RAK
Rakow
W W L W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~100% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
84%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals @1.28
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%
ACF Fiorentina Clean Sheet Home CS 60%
Rakow Clean Sheet Away CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+21.9%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 78.1% but our model gives it 100%. That's a +21.9% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 100% $1,000.00
Half Kelly 50% $500.00
Quarter Kelly 25% $250.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
ACF Fiorentina
D L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Rakow
W W L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
ACF Fiorentina wins2/5
Rakow wins3/5
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals—
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 60% of recent games.
2-1-2
ACF Fiorentina form
3-1-1
Rakow form
—
H2H BTTS rate
—
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
ACF Fiorentina
Overall
4.6 —
Scoring
4.0 —
Defence
5.3 —
Rakow
Overall
6.6 —
Scoring
5.3 —
Defence
6.7 —
Key Analytics
ACF Fiorentina
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Rakow
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
ACF Fiorentina
⚽ SA (08.03.26): Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
⚽ SA (02.03.26): Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
⚽ UECL (26.02.26): Fiorentina
Jagiellonia (5-4)
2
4
⚽ SA (23.02.26): Fiorentina
Pisa
1
0
⚽ UECL (19.02.26): Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0
3
Rakow
⚽ EKS (08.03.26): Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
⚽ CUP (05.03.26): Avia Swidnik
Rakow (AET)
1
2
⚽ EKS (01.03.26): Lech Poznan
Rakow
4
3
⚽ EKS (21.02.26): Rakow
Termalica B-B.
1
0
⚽ EKS (14.02.26): Zaglebie
Rakow
0
0
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for ACF Fiorentina vs Rakow?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.28. Confidence: 84%.
What is ACF Fiorentina's recent form?
ACF Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 — inconsistent.
How has Rakow been performing?
Rakow: 3W 1D 1L from 5 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals.
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