βœ• Tip LOST  Β·  Zaqatala 3-4 Shimal
πŸ† Azerbaijan 1 Liqa πŸ“… Thursday, 5th March 2026
ZAQ
Zaqatala
L W D L L
3-4
VS
SHI
Shimal
W L L L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Zaqatala to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
~50% implied
Confidence
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
40%
Value Play
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Bettor Intelligence
πŸ“Š Value Assessment
-26.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
πŸ’° Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake β€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
βš” Head to Head
Zaqatala0W
Draw1
Shimal0W
Against Zaqatala won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
πŸ“ˆ Recent Form
Zaqatala winsβ€”
Shimal winsβ€”
Goals per gameβ€”
H2H avg goals4
Mixed Not enough form data.
β€”
Zaqatala form
β€”
Shimal form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
4
H2H avg goals
Match History
Head to Head
26.11.25
: SHI
ZAQ - 1L
0
4
Recent Results
Zaqatala
24.12.25
: BAK
ZAQ - 1L
2
1
05.02.26
: ZAQ
SAB - 1L
0
1
13.02.26
: MIN
ZAQ - 1L
0
0
19.02.26
: ZAQ
DIF - 1L
2
1
25.02.26
: SAH
ZAQ - 1L
1
0
Shimal
24.12.25
: SAB
SHI - 1L
3
4
07.02.26
: SHI
MIN - 1L
0
3
13.02.26
: DIF
SHI - 1L
3
1
19.02.26
: SHI
SAH - 1L
0
1
24.02.26
: SHI
CEB - 1L
3
2
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 5th March 2026, Zaqatala host Shimal in Azerbaijan 1 Liqa. Our analysis points to Zaqatala to win as the standout bet.

Historically, Zaqatala have won 0 of the last 1 meetings against Shimal, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 4 goals.

With all factors considered, zaqatala to win at 1.30 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


The Azerbaijan Birinci Liqa returns to the Zaqatala City Stadium this Thursday as Zaqatala plays host to Shimal in a Round 17 clash that carries significant weight for the mid-table standings. Zaqatala enters this fixture as the statistical favorite, currently occupying the 6th position.

Despite some inconsistent results in their recent outingsβ€”including a narrow 1-0 loss to Sahdag Qusarβ€”the “Simurq” legacy continues to provide a psychological edge at home.

Their tactical setup often focuses on a high-press transition, utilizing the technical ability of midfielders like Cavad Karimov to dictate the tempo. For Zaqatala, this is a prime opportunity to stabilize their form and push toward the top five, making it a fixture where the pressure to perform is palpable.

On the other end of the pitch, Shimal arrives sitting at the bottom of the table in 10th place, a position that belies their recent “form watcher” breakthrough. They managed a gritty 3-2 victory over Cebrayil in their last match, a result that injected some much-needed life into their survival campaign.

However, the numbers remain daunting; Shimal has conceded a league-high 44 goals in just 16 matches. This defensive fragility was cruelly exposed in their last H2H meeting in November 2025, where Zaqatala walked away with a dominant 4-0 victory on Shimal’s own turf.

The narrative here is one of structural discipline versus desperation. While Shimal will look to sit deep and replicate their recent goal-scoring spark, the historical trend and statistical gap suggest that Zaqatala’s offensive depth will be too much for the visitors to handle over 90 minutes.

Expect the home side to leverage their superior ball retention and home advantage to control the narrative from the opening whistle.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Zaqatala vs Shimal?
Our top pick is 1 β€” Zaqatala to win at around 1.30. Confidence: 40%.
What is Zaqatala's recent form?
Recent form: L/W/D/L/L
How has Shimal been performing?
Recent form: W/L/L/L/W
What is the H2H record?
Zaqatala 0 wins vs Shimal's 0, with 1 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Insufficient data β€” see the preview for context.
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