Tip WON  ·  Molde 1-2 Bodo Glimt
🏆 NM Cup 📅 Thursday, 5th March 2026
MOL
Molde
W D W L D
1-2
VS
BOD
Bodo Glimt
W W W W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~100% implied
Confidence
93%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.38
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+27.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 72.5% but our model gives it 100%. That's a +27.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 100% $1,000.00
Half Kelly 50% $500.00
Quarter Kelly 25% $250.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
⚔ Head to Head
Molde0W
Draw5
Bodo Glimt0W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 80% of H2H meetings (avg 4).
📈 Recent Form
Molde wins
Bodo Glimt wins
Goals per game
H2H avg goals4
Mixed Not enough form data.
Molde form
Bodo Glimt form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
4
H2H avg goals
Match History
Head to Head
21.04.24
: BOD
MOL - ELI
1
1
03.11.24
: MOL
BOD - ELI
3
3
22.03.25
: MOL
BOD - CF
1
2
21.04.25
: MOL
BOD - ELI
2
2
26.10.25
: BOD
MOL - ELI
4
1
Recent Results
Molde
06.02.26
: MOL
KRI - CF
0
0
12.02.26
: MOL
MET - CF
0
1
15.02.26
: MOL
BRA - CF
2
1
17.02.26
: MOL
VIK - CF
2
2
27.02.26
: MOL
AAL - CF
4
1
Bodo Glimt
13.01.26
: BOD
DVT - CF
4
1
20.01.26
: BOD
MCI - CL
3
1
28.01.26
: ATL
BOD - CL
1
2
18.02.26
: BOD
INT - CL
3
1
24.02.26
: INT
BOD - CL
1
2
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 5th March 2026, Molde host Bodo Glimt in NM Cup. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Historically, Molde have won 0 of the last 5 meetings against Bodo Glimt, who have taken 0 victories, with 5 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 4 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


The Aker Stadion sets the stage for a heavyweight Round of 16 clash in the NM Cup this Thursday as Molde welcomes the high-flying Bodø/Glimt. This fixture is widely regarded as the most anticipated tie of the round, featuring two of Norway’s most successful modern clubs.

Bodø/Glimt enters this match in truly extraordinary form, having recently stunned the footballing world with a string of Champions League victories against European giants like Inter Milan, Manchester City, and Atletico Madrid

. Their transition play and tactical maturity have reached a continental elite level, and they bring that momentum back to domestic cup action. For Molde, this is a massive test of their winter preparations.

While they had a disappointing league campaign last year, finishing 10th, they have historically been a dominant force in the NM Cup and will be desperate to use this platform to reclaim their status as title contenders.

Statistically, the “Over 2.5” narrative is heavily supported by both teams’ recent scoring records and their head-to-head history. Bodø/Glimt has been clinical, averaging over 2.0 goals per game in their recent European and domestic outings.

Molde, while sometimes shaky at the back—keeping only two clean sheets in their last twelve official games—remains a threat at home and recently put four goals past Aalesund in a friendly. The H2H records show that these encounters are rarely dull; their last meeting saw Bodø/Glimt triumph 4-1, and goals have been a consistent feature of this rivalry.

The “must-win” pressure of a knockout tournament often leads to an open game once the first goal is scored, and with Bodø/Glimt’s match sharpness significantly higher due to their competitive European schedule, Molde will have to play expansively to keep pace.

Expect a fast-paced encounter where both sides prioritize offensive transitions, likely leading to a high-scoring affair.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Molde vs Bodo Glimt?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.38. Confidence: 93%.
What is Molde's recent form?
Recent form: W/D/W/L/D
How has Bodo Glimt been performing?
Recent form: W/W/W/W/W
What is the H2H record?
Molde 0 wins vs Bodo Glimt's 0, with 5 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Insufficient data — see the preview for context.
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