Tip WON  ·  Venezia 3-1 Padova
🏆 Serie B 📅 Tuesday, 17th March 2026
VEN
Venezia
D W W D W
3-1
VS
PAD
Padova
L L D W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Venezia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
61%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Venezia to win @1.25
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Venezia Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Venezia
D W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Padova
D L D W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Venezia4W
Draw0
Padova1W
Supports Tip Venezia won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Venezia wins3/5
Padova wins1/5
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Venezia: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games.
3-2-0
Venezia form
1-3-1
Padova form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Venezia
Overall
7.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.0
Padova
Overall
3.8
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
Venezia
2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Padova
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
22.11.25
SB: Padova
Venezia
0
2
27.01.19
SB: Venezia
Padova
2
1
01.09.18
SB: Padova
Venezia
1
0
10.04.17
SC: Padova
Venezia
0
1
08.03.17
COP: Venezia
Padova
3
1
Recent Results
Venezia
14.03.26
SB: Sampdoria
Venezia
0
0
07.03.26
SB: Venezia
Reggiana
2
0
03.03.26
SB: Venezia
Avellino
4
0
28.02.26
SB: Südtirol
Venezia
1
1
21.02.26
SB: Venezia
Pescara
3
2
Padova
14.03.26
SB: Padova
Catanzaro
1
1
07.03.26
SB: Avellino
Padova
1
0
03.03.26
SB: Padova
Spezia
2
2
28.02.26
SB: Modena
Padova
1
2
21.02.26
SB: Padova
Bari
1
1
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 17th March 2026, Venezia host Padova in Serie B. Our analysis points to Venezia to win as the standout bet.

Venezia come into this showing mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Padova are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 1L in 5 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Venezia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Padova, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, venezia to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Venezia vs Padova?
Our top pick is 1 — Venezia to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 61%.
What is Venezia's recent form?
Venezia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Padova been performing?
Padova: 1W 3D 1L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Venezia 4 wins vs Padova's 1, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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