βœ• Tip LOST  Β·  Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3-3 Khorfakkan
πŸ† UAE League πŸ“… Wednesday, 29th April 2026
SHA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
L W W L W
3-3
VS
KHO
Khorfakkan
D W L D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.16
~50% implied
Confidence
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
60%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
β˜… Main 1 β€” Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win @1.16
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Both Teams To Score BTTS β€” Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
πŸ“Š Value Assessment
-36.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 86.2% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -36.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
πŸ’° Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake β€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
L W W L W L W W D D
γ€° Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Khorfakkan
D W L D L D L W L W
γ€° Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
βš” Head to Head
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai9W
Draw1
Khorfakkan0W
Supports Tip Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
πŸ“ˆ Recent Form
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai wins5/10
Khorfakkan wins3/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals2.9
Mixed Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai form
3-3-4
Khorfakkan form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Overall
5.6 β–Ό
Scoring
7.0 β€”
Defence
6.3 β€”
Khorfakkan
Overall
3.9 β–²
Scoring
5.0 β€”
Defence
3.3 β€”
Key Analytics
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Khorfakkan
1.5
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
01.02.26
PC
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Khorfakkan
3
1
20.11.25
LEA
Khorfakkan
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0
1
23.04.25
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Khorfakkan
4
0
08.12.24
LEA
Khorfakkan
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
1
01.03.24
LEA
Khorfakkan
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0
3
27.08.23
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Khorfakkan
2
1
17.03.23
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Khorfakkan
3
1
22.10.22
LEA
Khorfakkan
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0
1
26.05.22
LEA
Khorfakkan
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
2
11.01.22
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Khorfakkan
3
1
Recent Results
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
21.04.26
CL
Machida
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
0
L
18.04.26
CL
Buriram
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (2 - 2)
2
3
W
14.04.26
CL
Tractor
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0
3
W
10.04.26
LEA
Al Ain
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3
2
L
04.04.26
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Al Jazira
2
1
W
21.03.26
PC
Al Jazira
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
0
L
16.03.26
LEA
Dibba Al Fujairah
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0
4
W
11.03.26
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Ittihad Kalba
5
1
W
07.03.26
LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Al Wahda
1
1
D
25.02.26
LEA
Al Wasl
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
1
D
Khorfakkan
11.04.26
LEA
Khorfakkan
Al Bataeh
1
1
D
05.04.26
LEA
Khorfakkan
Bani Yas
2
1
W
16.03.26
LEA
Al Jazira
Khorfakkan
3
1
L
11.03.26
LEA
Khorfakkan
Dibba Al Fujairah
0
0
D
27.02.26
LEA
Khorfakkan
Al Ain
2
3
L
22.02.26
LEA
Al Nasr
Khorfakkan
2
2
D
14.02.26
LEA
Khorfakkan
Ajman
2
5
L
06.02.26
LEA
Al Dhafra
Khorfakkan
2
3
W
01.02.26
PC
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Khorfakkan
3
1
L
28.01.26
LEA
Al Wasl
Khorfakkan
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai host Khorfakkan in UAE League. Our analysis points to Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win as the standout bet.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Khorfakkan are struggling away from home β€” 3W 3D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Khorfakkan, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 2.9 goals.

With all factors considered, shabab al-ahli dubai to win at 1.16 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this UAE League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.16. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan?
Our top pick is 1 β€” Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win at around 1.16. Confidence: 60%.
What is Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's recent form?
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 β€” decent form.
How has Khorfakkan been performing?
Khorfakkan: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games β€” inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 9 wins vs Khorfakkan's 0, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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