βœ• Tip LOST  Β·  SER Caxias 1-1 Anapolis
πŸ† Brazil Serie C πŸ“… Wednesday, 7th January 2026 ⏰ 11:30 pm πŸ“ Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)
SER
SER Caxias
W L W D W
1-1
VS
ANA
Anapolis
W L L W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing SER Caxias to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.50
~50% implied
Confidence
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
53%
Solid Pick
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
β˜… Main 1 β€” SER Caxias to win @1.50
Goals Under 2.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS β€” No 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
πŸ“Š Value Assessment
-16.7%
edge
No Value
Market implies 66.7% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -16.7% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
πŸ’° Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake β€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
SER Caxias
D L W D W D D D W W
γ€° Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Anapolis
W L L W D L L W D W
γ€° Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
βš” Head to Head
SER Caxias1W
Draw0
Anapolis0W
Supports Tip SER Caxias won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
πŸ“ˆ Recent Form
SER Caxias wins4/10
Anapolis wins4/10
Goals per game1
H2H avg goals1
Caution SER Caxias: 4W 5D 1L from 10 games.
4-5-1
SER Caxias form
4-2-4
Anapolis form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
SER Caxias
Overall
5.5 β€”
Scoring
4.0 β€”
Defence
7.7 β€”
Anapolis
Overall
4.6 β€”
Scoring
0.0 β€”
Defence
10.0 β€”
Key Analytics
SER Caxias
1.2
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Anapolis
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 5%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 26%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
Match History
Head to Head
13.07.25
SC
SER Caxias
AnΓ‘polis
1
0
Recent Results
SER Caxias
21.06.26
SC
SER Caxias
MaringΓ‘ FC |
1
1
D
13.06.26
SC
Guarani
SER Caxias |
2
1
L
30.05.26
SC
SER Caxias
Ituano |
2
1
W
23.05.26
SC
MaranhΓ£o
SER Caxias |
0
0
D
17.05.26
SC
SER Caxias
Paysandu PA |
2
0
W
10.05.26
SC
Barra FC
SER Caxias |
0
0
D
07.05.26
CSS
SΓ£o Bernardo
SER Caxias |
1
1
D
03.05.26
SC
Amazonas
SER Caxias |
1
1
D
01.05.26
CSS
SER Caxias
Volta Redonda |
2
0
W
28.04.26
SC
SER Caxias
Ypiranga FC |
2
1
W
Anapolis
20.06.26
SC
AnΓ‘polis
Itabaiana |
2
0
W
13.06.26
SC
Amazonas
AnΓ‘polis |
1
0
L
07.06.26
COP
Paysandu PA
AnΓ‘polis |
4
0
L
05.06.26
COP
AnΓ‘polis
Paysandu PA |
3
1
W
31.05.26
SC
AnΓ‘polis
MaranhΓ£o |
0
0
D
28.05.26
COP
Rio Branco ES
AnΓ‘polis |
2
1
L
24.05.26
SC
Brusque
AnΓ‘polis |
1
0
L
22.05.26
COP
AnΓ‘polis
Rio Branco ES |
3
0
W
17.05.26
SC
AnΓ‘polis
Barra FC |
1
1
D
13.05.26
COP
Vila Nova FC
AnΓ‘polis (pens 3 - 4) |
1
1
W
Venue Records
SER Caxias at Home
21.06.26
SC
SER Caxias
MaringΓ‘ FC |
1
1
D
30.05.26
SC
SER Caxias
Ituano |
2
1
W
17.05.26
SC
SER Caxias
Paysandu PA |
2
0
W
01.05.26
CSS
SER Caxias
Volta Redonda |
2
0
W
28.04.26
SC
SER Caxias
Ypiranga FC |
2
1
W
12.04.26
SC
SER Caxias
ConfianΓ§a |
1
0
W
08.04.26
CSS
SER Caxias
Juventude |
1
0
W
24.03.26
CSS
SER Caxias
OperΓ‘rio-PR |
0
0
D
26.02.26
COP
SER Caxias
Guarany de BagΓ© |
0
1
L
21.02.26
GAU
SER Caxias
SΓ£o Luiz (pens 2 - 3) |
0
1
L
Anapolis Away
13.06.26
SC
Amazonas
AnΓ‘polis |
1
0
L
07.06.26
COP
Paysandu PA
AnΓ‘polis |
4
0
L
28.05.26
COP
Rio Branco ES
AnΓ‘polis |
2
1
L
24.05.26
SC
Brusque
AnΓ‘polis |
1
0
L
13.05.26
COP
Vila Nova FC
AnΓ‘polis (pens 3 - 4) |
1
1
W
09.05.26
SC
Paysandu PA
AnΓ‘polis |
2
1
L
03.05.26
SC
FerroviΓ‘ria
AnΓ‘polis |
1
0
L
18.04.26
SC
Ypiranga FC
AnΓ‘polis |
3
0
L
15.04.26
COP
Gama
AnΓ‘polis |
2
1
L
05.04.26
SC
Ituano
AnΓ‘polis |
2
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 7th January 2026, SER Caxias host Anapolis at Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul) in Brazil Serie C. Our analysis points to SER Caxias to win as the standout bet.

SER Caxias come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Anapolis are inconsistent on the road β€” 4W 2D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, SER Caxias have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against Anapolis, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 1 goals.

With all factors considered, ser caxias to win at 1.50 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Brazil Serie C fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form β€” a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.50, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 11:30 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here β€” there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

 

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for SER Caxias vs Anapolis?
Our top pick is 1 β€” SER Caxias to win at around 1.50. Confidence: 53%.
What is SER Caxias's recent form?
SER Caxias have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 β€” inconsistent.
How has Anapolis been performing?
Anapolis: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games β€” inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
SER Caxias 1 wins vs Anapolis's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.