πŸ† Copa Do Brasil πŸ“… Tuesday, 21st April 2026
SAO
Sao Paulo
L W L W W
VS
JUV
Juventude
W D W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Sao Paulo to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~50% implied
Confidence
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
50%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
β˜… Main 1 β€” Sao Paulo to win @1.38
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS β€” No 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
πŸ“Š Value Assessment
-22.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 72.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -22.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
πŸ’° Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake β€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Sao Paulo
L W L W W D L L W W
γ€° Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Juventude
W D W L L D L L L W
γ€° Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
βš” Head to Head
Sao Paulo5W
Draw4
Juventude1W
Mixed Sao Paulo won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
πŸ“ˆ Recent Form
Sao Paulo wins5/10
Juventude wins3/10
Goals per game1.9
H2H avg goals2.2
Mixed Sao Paulo: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
5-1-4
Sao Paulo form
3-2-5
Juventude form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Sao Paulo
Overall
5.3 β€”
Scoring
4.3 β€”
Defence
7.0 β€”
Juventude
Overall
3.6 β€”
Scoring
2.3 β€”
Defence
7.0 β€”
Key Analytics
Sao Paulo
1.3
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Juventude
0.7
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
Match History
Head to Head
23.11.25
Β (SΓ©rie A) SΓ£o Paulo
Juventude
2
1
24.07.25
Β (SΓ©rie A) Juventude
SΓ£o Paulo
0
1
05.12.24
Β (SΓ©rie A) SΓ£o Paulo
Juventude
1
2
21.07.24
Β (SΓ©rie A) Juventude
SΓ£o Paulo
0
0
23.10.22
Β (SΓ©rie A) Juventude
SΓ£o Paulo
1
2
26.06.22
Β (SΓ©rie A) SΓ£o Paulo
Juventude
0
0
12.05.22
Β (Copa do Brasil) SΓ£o Paulo
Juventude
2
0
20.04.22
Β (Copa do Brasil) Juventude
SΓ£o Paulo
2
2
06.12.21
Β (SΓ©rie A) SΓ£o Paulo
Juventude
3
1
29.08.21
Β (SΓ©rie A) Juventude
SΓ£o Paulo
1
1
Recent Results
Sao Paulo
18.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie A) Vasco
SΓ£o Paulo -Β L
2
1
14.04.26
Β (Copa Sul-Americana)Β SΓ£o Paulo
O’Higgins -Β W
2
0
11.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie A) VitΓ³ria
SΓ£o Paulo -Β L
2
0
08.04.26
Β (Copa Sul-Americana) Boston River
SΓ£o Paulo -Β W
0
1
04.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie A)Β SΓ£o Paulo
Cruzeiro -Β W
4
1
01.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie A) Internacional
SΓ£o Paulo -Β D
1
1
22.03.26
Β (SΓ©rie A)Β SΓ£o Paulo
Palmeiras -Β L
0
1
19.03.26
Β (SΓ©rie A) AtlΓ©tico-MG
SΓ£o Paulo -Β L
1
0
16.03.26
Β (SΓ©rie A) Bragantino
SΓ£o Paulo -Β W
1
2
13.03.26
Β (SΓ©rie A)Β SΓ£o Paulo
Chapecoense-SC -Β W
2
0
Juventude
19.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie B) CRB
Juventude -Β W
0
1
16.04.26
Β (Campeonato GaΓΊcho) Juventude
Chapecoense-SC -Β D
0
0
11.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie B)Β Juventude
GoiΓ‘s -Β W
2
0
08.04.26
Β (Campeonato GaΓΊcho) SER Caxias
Juventude -Β L
1
0
04.04.26
Β (SΓ©rie B) Fortaleza
Juventude -Β L
2
1
31.03.26
Β (SΓ©rie B)Β Juventude
Novorizontino -Β D
0
0
29.03.26
Β (Campeonato GaΓΊcho)Β Juventude
Novorizontino -Β L
0
2
25.03.26
Β (Campeonato GaΓΊcho) Sampaio CorrΓͺa FE
Juventude -Β L
2
0
22.03.26
Β (SΓ©rie B) AvaΓ­
Juventude -Β L
2
0
19.03.26
Β (Copa do Brasil)Β Juventude
Águia de MarabÑ - W
3
0
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Sao Paulo host Juventude in Copa Do Brasil. Our analysis points to Sao Paulo to win as the standout bet.

Sao Paulo come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Juventude are struggling away from home β€” 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Sao Paulo have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Juventude, who have taken 1 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, sao paulo to win at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Copa Do Brasil clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.38. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Our top pick is 1 β€” Sao Paulo to win at around 1.38. Confidence: 50%.
What is Sao Paulo's recent form?
Sao Paulo have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 β€” decent form.
How has Juventude been performing?
Juventude: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games β€” inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Sao Paulo 5 wins vs Juventude's 1, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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