Tip WON  ·  Botafogo 1-0 Chapecoense
🏆 Copa Do Brasil 📅 Tuesday, 21st April 2026
BOT
Botafogo
W W D D W
1-0
VS
CHA
Chapecoense
L D L W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Botafogo to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.43
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Botafogo to win @1.43
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-19.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -19.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Botafogo
W W D D W W L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Chapecoense
L D L W D L L W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Botafogo6W
Draw1
Chapecoense3W
Supports Tip Botafogo won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Botafogo wins5/10
Chapecoense wins2/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals2
Mixed Botafogo: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Botafogo form
2-3-5
Chapecoense form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Botafogo
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
3.7
Chapecoense
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
Botafogo
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Chapecoense
0.6
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
18.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ
1
4
27.11.19
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ
0
1
27.08.19
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Chapecoense-SC
0
0
15.11.18
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ
0
1
26.07.18
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Chapecoense-SC
1
0
11.10.17
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Chapecoense-SC
2
1
18.06.17
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ
0
2
16.11.16
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Chapecoense-SC
0
2
24.07.16
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ
2
1
23.11.14
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ
2
0
Recent Results
Botafogo
18.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ - W
1
4
15.04.26
 (COP) Racing Club
Botafogo RJ - W
2
3
12.04.26
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Coritiba - D
2
2
09.04.26
 (COP) Botafogo RJ
Caracas - D
1
1
05.04.26
 (SA) Vasco
Botafogo RJ - W
1
2
01.04.26
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Mirassol - W
3
2
29.03.26
 (SA) Athletico-PR
Botafogo RJ - L
4
1
21.03.26
 (SA) Bragantino
Botafogo RJ - W
1
2
18.03.26
 (SA) Palmeiras
Botafogo RJ - L
2
1
15.03.26
 (SA) Botafogo RJ
Flamengo RJ - L
0
3
Chapecoense
18.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Botafogo RJ - L
1
4
16.04.26
 (CSS) Juventude
Chapecoense-SC - D
0
0
12.04.26
 (SA) Athletico-PR
Chapecoense-SC - L
2
0
08.04.26
 (CSS) Chapecoense-SC
Avaí - W
2
1
05.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Vitória - D
1
1
02.04.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Atlético-MG - L
0
4
28.03.26
 (CSS) Volta Redonda
Chapecoense-SC - L
1
0
26.03.26
 (CSS) Chapecoense-SC
São Bernardo - W
2
1
22.03.26
 (SA) Internacional
Chapecoense-SC - L
2
0
20.03.26
 (SA) Chapecoense-SC
Corinthians - D
0
0
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Botafogo host Chapecoense in Copa Do Brasil. Our analysis points to Botafogo to win as the standout bet.

Botafogo come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Chapecoense are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Botafogo have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Chapecoense, who have taken 3 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2 goals.

With all factors considered, botafogo to win at 1.43 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Copa Do Brasil clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.43. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Botafogo vs Chapecoense?
Our top pick is 1 — Botafogo to win at around 1.43. Confidence: 53%.
What is Botafogo's recent form?
Botafogo have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Chapecoense been performing?
Chapecoense: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Botafogo 6 wins vs Chapecoense's 3, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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