Tip WON  ·  Real Madrid 2-1 Alaves
🏆 La Liga 📅 Tuesday, 21st April 2026
REA
Real Madrid
L D L L W
2-1
VS
ALA
Alaves
D D W D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Real Madrid to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Real Madrid to win @1.32
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Real Madrid
L D L L L W W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Alaves
D D W D L L D D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Real Madrid9W
Draw1
Alaves0W
Supports Tip Real Madrid won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Real Madrid wins4/10
Alaves wins1/10
Goals per game1.8
H2H avg goals3.3
Caution Real Madrid: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games.
4-1-5
Real Madrid form
1-5-4
Alaves form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Real Madrid
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
Alaves
Overall
2.5
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Key Analytics
Real Madrid
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Alaves
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
14.12.25
La Liga
Alavés
Real Madrid
1
2
13.04.25
La Liga
Alavés
Real Madrid
0
1
24.09.24
La Liga
Real Madrid
Alavés
3
2
14.05.24
La Liga
Real Madrid
Alavés
5
0
21.12.23
La Liga
Alavés
Real Madrid
0
1
19.02.22
La Liga
Real Madrid
Alavés
3
0
14.08.21
La Liga
Alavés
Real Madrid
1
4
23.01.21
La Liga
Alavés
Real Madrid
1
4
28.11.20
La Liga
Real Madrid
Alavés
1
2
10.07.20
La Liga
Real Madrid
Alavés
2
0
Recent Results
Real Madrid
15.04.26
Champions League
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
4
3
L
10.04.26
La Liga
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
Champions League
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
1
2
L
04.04.26
La Liga
Mallorca
Real Madrid
2
1
L
22.03.26
La Liga
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
W
14.03.26
La Liga
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
Champions League
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
W
02.03.26
La Liga
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
Alaves
11.04.26
La Liga
Real Sociedad
Alavés
3
3
D
05.04.26
La Liga
Alavés
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Alavés
3
4
W
13.03.26
La Liga
Alavés
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La Liga
Valencia
Alavés
3
2
L
27.02.26
La Liga
Levante
Alavés
2
0
L
23.02.26
La Liga
Alavés
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La Liga
Sevilla
Alavés
1
1
D
08.02.26
La Liga
Alavés
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Copa del Rey
Alavés
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Real Madrid host Alaves in La Liga. Our analysis points to Real Madrid to win as the standout bet.

Real Madrid come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Alaves are struggling away from home — 1W 5D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, Real Madrid have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Alaves, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, real madrid to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this La Liga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.32. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Real Madrid vs Alaves?
Our top pick is 1 — Real Madrid to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 57%.
What is Real Madrid's recent form?
Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Alaves been performing?
Alaves: 1W 5D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Real Madrid 9 wins vs Alaves's 0, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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