Tip WON  ·  Rakow 3-0 Arka Gdynia
🏆 Poland Ekstraklasa 📅 Saturday, 23rd May 2026
RAK
Rakow
W L W L W
3-0
VS
ARK
Arka Gdynia
L D D L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Rakow to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
62%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Rakow to win @1.34
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Rakow
W L W L W W D W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Arka Gdynia
L D D L L D W L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Rakow5W
Draw0
Arka Gdynia1W
Supports Tip Rakow won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Rakow wins6/10
Arka Gdynia wins2/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals3.7
Supports Tip Rakow: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Rakow form
2-4-4
Arka Gdynia form
67%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Rakow
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.3
Arka Gdynia
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.3
Key Analytics
Rakow
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Arka Gdynia
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
30.11.25
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Rakow
1
4
01.03.22
CUP
Arka Gdynia
Rakow
0
2
02.05.21
CUP
Rakow
Arka Gdynia
2
1
26.06.20
EKS
Rakow
Arka Gdynia
3
2
22.02.20
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Rakow
3
2
14.09.19
EKS
Rakow
Arka Gdynia
2
0
Recent Results
Rakow
17.05.26
EKS
Piast Gliwice
Rakow
1
3
W
13.05.26
EKS
Rakow
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
08.05.26
EKS
Rakow
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
02.05.26
CUP
Gornik Zabrze
Rakow
2
0
L
25.04.26
EKS
Lechia Gdansk
Rakow
1
2
W
19.04.26
EKS
Rakow
Cracovia
4
1
W
12.04.26
EKS
Motor Lublin
Rakow
1
1
D
09.04.26
CUP
Rakow
(3-3) GKS Katowice
5
4
W
04.04.26
EKS
Rakow
Widzew Lodz
1
1
D
29.03.26
CF
Rakow
S. Rzeszow
5
1
W
Arka Gdynia
18.05.26
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Termalica B-B.
2
3
L
13.05.26
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
08.05.26
EKS
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
27.04.26
EKS
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
4
1
L
19.04.26
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
0
3
L
12.04.26
EKS
Cracovia
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
07.04.26
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie
3
1
W
22.03.26
EKS
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
L
15.03.26
EKS
Arka Gdynia
Widzew Lodz
0
0
D
09.03.26
EKS
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
3
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Rakow host Arka Gdynia in Poland Ekstraklasa. Our analysis points to Rakow to win as the standout bet.

Rakow come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Arka Gdynia are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, Rakow have won 5 of the last 6 meetings against Arka Gdynia, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 67% of those games, averaging 3.7 goals.

With all factors considered, rakow to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Poland Ekstraklasa clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.34. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Rakow vs Arka Gdynia?
Our top pick is 1 — Rakow to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 62%.
What is Rakow's recent form?
Rakow have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Arka Gdynia been performing?
Arka Gdynia: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Rakow 5 wins vs Arka Gdynia's 1, with 0 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 67%.
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