Tip WON  ·  Fratria 3-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
🏆 Bulgaria Vtora Liga 📅 Saturday, 23rd May 2026
FRA
Fratria
W D L D D
3-0
VS
PIR
Pirin Blagoevgrad
W L D L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Fratria to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
33%
Value Play
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Fratria
W D L D D W W D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
W L D L D L D W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Fratria0W
Draw2
Pirin Blagoevgrad1W
Against Fratria won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Fratria wins3/10
Pirin Blagoevgrad wins2/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals0.3
Caution Fratria: 3W 5D 2L from 10 games.
3-5-2
Fratria form
2-4-4
Pirin Blagoevgrad form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
0.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Fratria
Overall
4.5
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Fratria
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
Match History
Head to Head
21.11.25
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Fratria
0
0
15.02.25
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Fratria
0
0
03.08.24
2L
Fratria
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0
1
Recent Results
Fratria
15.05.26
2L
Belasitsa
Fratria
0
3
W
11.05.26
2L
Fratria
Dunav Ruse
2
2
D
04.05.26
2L
Vihren
Fratria
2
1
L
26.04.26
2L
Fratria
CSKA Sofia II
2
2
D
16.04.26
2L
Spartak Pleven
Fratria
1
1
D
09.04.26
2L
Fratria
Lok. Gorna
3
0
W
28.03.26
2L
Fratria
Minyor Pernik
3
1
W
23.03.26
2L
Yantra Gabrovo
Fratria
1
1
D
15.03.26
2L
Ludogorets II
Fratria
1
1
D
08.03.26
2L
Fratria
Sevlievo
1
4
L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15.05.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Sevlievo
4
1
W
11.05.26
2L
Svoge
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2
0
L
02.05.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Marek
0
0
D
25.04.26
2L
Etar
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3
2
L
16.04.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Hebar
2
2
D
09.04.26
2L
Chernomorets 1919
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2
0
L
04.04.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Ludogorets II
0
0
D
29.03.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Belasitsa
1
0
W
21.03.26
2L
Dunav Ruse
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0
0
D
15.03.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Vihren
0
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Fratria host Pirin Blagoevgrad in Bulgaria Vtora Liga. Our analysis points to Fratria to win as the standout bet.

Fratria come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Pirin Blagoevgrad are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, Fratria have won 0 of the last 3 meetings against Pirin Blagoevgrad, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 0.3 goals.

With all factors considered, fratria to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Bulgaria Vtora Liga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.25. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our top pick is 1 — Fratria to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 33%.
What is Fratria's recent form?
Fratria have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Pirin Blagoevgrad been performing?
Pirin Blagoevgrad: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Fratria 0 wins vs Pirin Blagoevgrad's 1, with 2 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 0.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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