โœ• Tip LOST  ยท  Paide 0-1 Tammeka
๐Ÿ† Estonia Meistriliiga ๐Ÿ“… Friday, 1st May 2026
PAI
Paide
L D W W W
0-1
VS
TAM
Tammeka
L L D L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Paide to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.46
~50% implied
Confidence
โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…
63%
Solid Pick
โš  18+ ยท Gamble responsibly ยท Tips are not guarantees ยท GambleAware ยท GamCare
Supporting Bets
โ˜… Main 1 โ€” Paide to win @1.46
Goals Over 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
๐Ÿ“Š Value Assessment
-18.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 68.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -18.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Kelly Criterion
โš  Kelly returns a negative stake โ€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Paide
L D W W W W D W W L
ใ€ฐ Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Tammeka
L L D L L W W L L D
ใ€ฐ Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
โš” Head to Head
Paide9W
Draw0
Tammeka1W
Supports Tip Paide won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form
Paide wins6/10
Tammeka wins2/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.7
Supports Tip Paide: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Paide form
2-2-6
Tammeka form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Paide
Overall
6.6 โ€”
Scoring
7.7 โ€”
Defence
6.3 โ€”
Tammeka
Overall
2.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
3.7 โ€”
Defence
4.0 โ€”
Key Analytics
Paide
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Tammeka
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
29.10.25
CUP
Paide
Tammeka
3
0
18.10.25
ML
Paide
Tammeka
5
0
23.08.25
ML
Tammeka
Paide
0
1
28.06.25
ML
Tammeka
Paide
0
2
05.04.25
ML
Paide
Tammeka
1
0
26.10.24
ML
Paide
Tammeka
2
0
24.08.24
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
3
18.05.24
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
2
20.04.24
ML
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
Recent Results
Paide
26.04.26
ML
Paide
Flora
1
2
L
22.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
19.04.26
ML
Paide
Kalju
1
0
W
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
W
08.04.26
ML
Paide
Nomme Utd
3
1
W
03.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
W
22.03.26
ML
Levadia
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
ML
Paide
Narva
1
0
W
11.03.26
CUP
Paide
Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
07.03.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Paide
3
2
L
Tammeka
25.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
L
22.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Levadia
1
2
L
18.04.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
ML
Narva
Tammeka
3
0
L
03.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Tammeka
2
3
W
14.03.26
ML
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
L
08.03.26
ML
Tammeka
Kalju
0
1
L
27.02.26
CF
Riga Mariners
Tammeka
1
1
D
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Paide host Tammeka in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Paide to win as the standout bet.

Paide come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Tammeka are struggling away from home โ€” 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Paide have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Tammeka, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.7 goals.

With all factors considered, paide to win at 1.46 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Meistriliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.46. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Paide vs Tammeka?
Our top pick is 1 โ€” Paide to win at around 1.46. Confidence: 63%.
What is Paide's recent form?
Paide have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 โ€” decent form.
How has Tammeka been performing?
Tammeka: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games โ€” poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Paide 9 wins vs Tammeka's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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