Tip WON  ·  Viking 3-0 Rosenborg
🏆 Norway Eliteserien 📅 Friday, 1st May 2026
VIK
Viking
W W W W W
3-0
VS
ROS
Rosenborg
D D W L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~90% implied
Confidence
76%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.40
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+18.6%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 71.4% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +18.6% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 65% $650.00
Half Kelly 32.5% $325.00
Quarter Kelly 16.3% $163.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Viking
W W W W W W L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Rosenborg
D D W L W L L L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Viking5W
Draw1
Rosenborg4W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 3.8).
📈 Recent Form
Viking wins8/10
Rosenborg wins3/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals3.8
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of recent games.
8-0-2
Viking form
3-2-5
Rosenborg form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Viking
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
Rosenborg
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
Key Analytics
Viking
2.5
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Rosenborg
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
31.08.25
ELI
Viking
Rosenborg
2
1
28.06.25
ELI
Rosenborg
Viking
1
1
16.03.25
CF
Viking
Rosenborg
3
2
18.08.24
ELI
Rosenborg
Viking
2
1
30.06.24
ELI
Viking
Rosenborg
4
2
24.03.24
CF
Viking
Rosenborg
5
0
03.12.23
ELI
Viking
Rosenborg
1
5
10.04.23
ELI
Rosenborg
Viking
1
0
12.03.23
NMC
Viking
Rosenborg
2
0
04.09.22
ELI
Rosenborg
Viking
4
1
Recent Results
Viking
25.04.26
ELI
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
W
18.04.26
ELI
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
ELI
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
ELI
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
W
25.03.26
CF
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
ELI
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
18.03.26
NMC
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
L
14.03.26
ELI
HamKam
Viking
2
1
L
07.03.26
NMC
Bjarg
Viking
0
3
W
01.03.26
CF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08
2
0
W
Rosenborg
25.04.26
ELI
Rosenborg
Brann
1
1
D
18.04.26
ELI
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
12.04.26
ELI
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08
2
1
W
06.04.26
ELI
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
L
26.03.26
CF
Rosenborg
Stjordals Blink
4
1
W
22.03.26
ELI
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
2
L
14.03.26
ELI
Molde
Rosenborg
2
0
L
08.03.26
NMC
Bryne
Rosenborg - L (aet)
4
2
27.02.26
CF
Rosenborg
Valerenga
0
1
L
24.02.26
CF
Rosenborg
Start
2
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Viking host Rosenborg in Norway Eliteserien. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Viking come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Rosenborg are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.5 per match.

Historically, Viking have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Rosenborg, who have taken 4 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.8 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Norway Eliteserien clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.40. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Viking vs Rosenborg?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.40. Confidence: 76%.
What is Viking's recent form?
Viking have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Rosenborg been performing?
Rosenborg: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Viking 5 wins vs Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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