NIJ
Nijmegen
L
D
D
L
W
3-2
VS
PSV
PSV
W
W
L
W
W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
X2
We're backing PSV to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
~80% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 85%
Strong Pick
⚠
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GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
X2 — PSV to win or draw
@1.20
Goals
Over 2.5
100%
Goals
Over 1.5
100%
H2H
Over 2.5
80%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-3.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 83.3% probability. Our estimate is 80%, a -3.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
PSV
W
W
L
W
W
〰 Mixed
2 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
Nijmegen0W
Draw2
PSV3W
Supports Tip
PSV unbeaten in 5 of 5 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Nijmegen wins—
PSV wins4/5
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals4.8
Supports Tip
PSV unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent games.
—
Nijmegen form
4-0-1
PSV form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
4.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
PSV
2.6
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Match History
Head to Head
13.09.25
: NEC
PSV
3
5
01.02.25
: NEC
PSV
3
3
14.09.24
: PSV
NEC
2
0
30.03.24
: NEC
PSV
3
1
16.09.23
: PSV
NEC
4
0
Recent Results
Nijmegen
28.02.26
: NEC
SIT
2
3
21.02.26
: AJA
NEC
1
1
17.02.26
: SPA
NEC
1
1
11.02.26
: NEC
UTR
1
3
07.02.26
: NEC
HER
4
1
PSV
28.02.26
: HER
PSV
1
3
21.02.26
: PSV
HEE
3
1
13.02.26
: VOL
PSV
2
1
08.02.26
: GRO
PSV
1
2
04.02.26
: PSV
HEE - CUP
4
1
Expert Analysis
On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, Nijmegen host PSV in kKNVB Beker. Our analysis points to PSV to win or draw as the standout bet.
PSV are travelling well — 4W 0D 1L in 5 games, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.2 per match.
Historically, Nijmegen have won 0 of the last 5 meetings against PSV, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 4.8 goals.
With all factors considered, psv to win or draw at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Nijmegen vs PSV?
Our top pick is X2 — PSV to win or draw at around 1.20. Confidence: 85%.
What is Nijmegen's recent form?
Recent form: L/D/D/L/W
How has PSV been performing?
PSV: 4W 0D 1L from 5 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Nijmegen 0 wins vs PSV's 3, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 4.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.