Tip WON  ·  NEC FC 1-0 UPDF
🏆 Uganda Premier League 📅 Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
NEC
NEC FC
D W D W D
1-0
VS
UPD
UPDF
L D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing NEC FC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.45
~50% implied
Confidence
37%
Value Play
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — NEC FC to win @1.45
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-19%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -19% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
NEC FC
D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 50%
UPDF
L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
NEC FC0W
Draw5
UPDF0W
Against NEC FC won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
📈 Recent Form
NEC FC wins1/2
UPDF wins0/2
Goals per game2
H2H avg goals1.4
Mixed NEC FC: 1W 1D 0L from 2 games.
1-1-0
NEC FC form
0-0-2
UPDF form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
1.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
NEC FC
Overall
6.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
8.3
UPDF
Overall
0.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
1.7
Key Analytics
NEC FC
1
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
UPDF
0
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 50%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
16.12.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
04.04.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
24.09.24
: NEC
UPD
1
0
13.02.24
: UPD
NEC
2
2
20.10.23
: NEC
UPD
2
0
Recent Results
NEC FC
17.02.26
: VIP
NEC
1
1
13.02.26
: NEC
KCC
3
1
31.01.26
: NEC
EXP
0
0
27.01.26
: BUH
NEC
0
1
24.01.26
: NEC
KIT
3
3
UPDF
18.02.26
: LUG
UPD
1
0
13.02.26
: UPD
BUH
0
0
30.01.26
: UPD
BUL
0
1
27.01.26
: KCC
UPD
4
0
21.01.26
: UPD
ENT
0
1
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for NEC FC vs UPDF?
Our top pick is 1 — NEC FC to win at around 1.45. Confidence: 37%.
What is NEC FC's recent form?
NEC FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 — decent form.
How has UPDF been performing?
UPDF: 0W 0D 2L from 2 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
NEC FC 0 wins vs UPDF's 0, with 5 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org