Tip WON  ·  Neftchi Fargona 4-0 Kokand 1912
🏆 Uzbekistan Super League 📅 Wednesday, 29th April 2026
NEF
Neftchi Fargona
W W W L W
4-0
VS
KOK
Kokand 1912
L D D D D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Neftchi Fargona to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
57%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win @1.25
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet Home CS 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Neftchi Fargona
W W W L W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 6 in a row
Momentum 100%
Kokand 1912
L D D D D W D L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Neftchi Fargona3W
Draw3
Kokand 19124W
Against Neftchi Fargona won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona wins9/10
Kokand 1912 wins2/10
Goals per game2.3
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Neftchi Fargona: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games.
9-0-1
Neftchi Fargona form
2-5-3
Kokand 1912 form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Neftchi Fargona
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.0
Kokand 1912
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Neftchi Fargona
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.3
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Kokand 1912
1
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
07.08.25
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
1
2
14.03.25
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
0
0
02.08.22
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
3
3
02.03.22
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
1
0
29.11.18
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
0
2
24.10.18
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
2
0
17.08.18
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Kokand 1912
1
0
30.05.18
CUP
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona (1 - 1)
2
1
10.05.18
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
1
1
26.08.17
SL
Kokand 1912
Neftchi Fargona
3
1
Recent Results
Neftchi Fargona
24.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Neftchi Fargona
0
2
W
18.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Nasaf Qarshi
2
1
W
14.04.26
SL
Bunyodkor
Neftchi Fargona
0
1
W
09.04.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
0
1
L
04.04.26
SL
Qizilqum
Neftchi Fargona
0
4
W
20.03.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Lok. Tashkent
3
1
W
15.03.26
SUC
Neftchi Fargona
Pakhtakor
1
0
W
10.03.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Andijan
3
0
W
05.03.26
SL
Termez Surkhon
Neftchi Fargona
0
3
W
28.02.26
SL
Neftchi Fargona
Mashal Muborak
3
0
W
Kokand 1912
24.04.26
SL
Qizilqum
Kokand 1912
2
1
L
19.04.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Andijan
0
0
D
14.04.26
SL
Xorazm Urganch
Kokand 1912
2
2
D
08.04.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Nasaf Qarshi
1
1
D
02.04.26
SL
Sogdiana
Kokand 1912
2
2
D
18.03.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Navbahor Namangan
2
1
W
11.03.26
SL
Lok. Tashkent
Kokand 1912
0
0
D
04.03.26
SL
Kokand 1912
Pakhtakor
1
2
L
27.02.26
SL
Buxoro
Kokand 1912
1
0
L
06.02.26
CF
Kokand 1912
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1
0
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Neftchi Fargona host Kokand 1912 in Uzbekistan Super League. Our analysis points to Neftchi Fargona to win as the standout bet.

Neftchi Fargona come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game.

Kokand 1912 are struggling away from home — 2W 5D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, Neftchi Fargona have won 3 of the last 10 meetings against Kokand 1912, who have taken 4 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, neftchi fargona to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Uzbekistan Super League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.25. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912?
Our top pick is 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's recent form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Kokand 1912 been performing?
Kokand 1912: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Neftchi Fargona 3 wins vs Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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