Tip WON  ·  Marica 0-0 Bonsucesso
🏆 Brazil Carioca 2 📅 Wednesday, 10th June 2026
MAR
Marica
L W W W D
0-0
VS
BON
Bonsucesso
W L L D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Marica to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.13
~90% implied
Confidence
84%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1X — Marica to win or draw @1.13
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+1.5%
edge
Fair Price
Market implies 88.5%, we estimate 90%. The price is roughly in line — bet on conviction, not on edge alone.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 13.1% $131.00
Half Kelly 6.6% $66.00
Quarter Kelly 3.3% $33.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Marica
L W W W D W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Bonsucesso
W L L D W L D L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Marica1W
Draw0
Bonsucesso0W
Supports Tip Marica unbeaten in 1 of 1 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Marica wins6/10
Bonsucesso wins3/10
Goals per game1.9
H2H avg goals2
Supports Tip Marica unbeaten in 7 of 10 recent games.
6-1-3
Marica form
3-2-5
Bonsucesso form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Marica
Overall
6.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
Bonsucesso
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
Key Analytics
Marica
1
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Bonsucesso
0.9
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
Match History
Head to Head
18.11.20
CAR2
Marica
Bonsucesso
2
0
Recent Results
Marica
07.06.26
SD
Velo Clube
Marica
3
1
L
03.06.26
CAR2
CEAC/Araruama
Marica
0
1
W
30.05.26
SD
Marica
Nova Iguacu
1
0
W
27.05.26
CAR2
Marica
Olaria
2
1
W
23.05.26
SD
Sampaio Correa FE
Marica
1
1
D
20.05.26
CAR2
America RJ
Marica
0
1
W
16.05.26
SD
Marica
Piracicaba
1
2
L
13.05.26
CAR2
Marica
Sao Goncalo
1
0
W
09.05.26
SD
Marica
Noroeste
0
3
L
06.05.26
CAR2
Marica
Cabofriense
1
0
W
Bonsucesso
30.05.26
CAR2
Bonsucesso
Perolas Negras
4
1
W
23.05.26
CAR2
Americano
Bonsucesso
2
0
L
16.05.26
CAR2
Bonsucesso
Audax RJ
0
1
L
09.05.26
CAR2
Serrano FC
Bonsucesso
0
0
D
02.05.26
CAR2
Bonsucesso
CEAC/Araruama
2
1
W
29.04.26
CAR2
Cabofriense
Bonsucesso
1
0
L
06.12.25
CAR2
Bonsucesso
Serrano FC
0
0
D
30.11.25
CAR2
Serrano FC
Bonsucesso
2
1
L
22.11.25
CAR2
Bonsucesso
Duque de Caxias
2
0
W
15.11.25
CAR2
Duque de Caxias
Bonsucesso
1
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, Marica host Bonsucesso in Brazil Carioca 2. Our analysis points to Marica to win or draw as the standout bet.

Marica come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Bonsucesso are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Marica have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against Bonsucesso, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 2 goals.

With all factors considered, marica to win or draw at 1.13 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Brazil Carioca 2 clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1X, which offers fantastic value at @1.13. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Marica vs Bonsucesso?
Our top pick is 1X — Marica to win or draw at around 1.13. Confidence: 84%.
What is Marica's recent form?
Marica have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Bonsucesso been performing?
Bonsucesso: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Marica 1 wins vs Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.