Tip WON  ·  Man City W 1-0 Liverpool W
🏆 England WSL 📅 Sunday, 3rd May 2026
MAN
Man City W
L W W W D
1-0
VS
LIV
Liverpool W
L W W D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Man City W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.17
~50% implied
Confidence
67%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Man City W to win @1.17
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-35.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 85.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -35.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Man City W
L W W W D W W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 80%
Liverpool W
L W W D W W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Man City W9W
Draw0
Liverpool W1W
Supports Tip Man City W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Man City W wins7/10
Liverpool W wins6/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.9
Supports Tip Man City W: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Man City W form
6-1-3
Liverpool W form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Man City W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
Liverpool W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Man City W
2.8
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Liverpool W
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
Match History
Head to Head
12.10.25
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
2
W
16.02.25
WSL
Manchester City W
Liverpool
4
0
W
13.10.24
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
2
W
07.09.24
CF
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
2
W
30.03.24
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
1
4
W
21.01.24
WSL
Manchester City W
Liverpool
5
1
W
08.11.23
CUP
Liverpool W
Manchester City
3
4
W
07.05.23
WSL
Liverpool W
Manchester City
2
1
W
07.12.22
CUP
Liverpool W
Manchester City
0
2
W
30.10.22
WSL
Manchester City W
Liverpool
2
1
W
Recent Results
Man City W
25.04.26
WSL
Brighton W
Manchester City W
3
2
L
06.04.26
FAC
Birmingham W
Manchester City W
0
1
W
28.03.26
WSL
Manchester Utd W
Manchester City W
0
3
W
21.03.26
WSL
Manchester City W
Tottenham W
5
2
W
15.03.26
WSL
Aston Villa W
Manchester City W
0
0
D
22.02.26
FAC
Manchester City W
Sheffield Utd W
4
0
W
13.02.26
WSL
Manchester City W
Leicester W
6
0
W
08.02.26
WSL
Arsenal W
Manchester City W
1
0
L
01.02.26
WSL
Manchester City W
Chelsea W
5
1
W
25.01.26
WSL
London City Lionesses W
Manchester City W
1
2
W
Liverpool W
26.04.26
WSL
Liverpool W
West Ham W
0
1
L
05.04.26
FAC
Charlton W
Liverpool W - W (aet)
0
1
28.03.26
WSL
Everton W
Liverpool W
2
3
W
22.03.26
WSL
Brighton W
Liverpool W
0
0
D
15.03.26
WSL
Liverpool W
Leicester W
2
0
W
22.02.26
FAC
Liverpool W
Everton W
2
1
W
15.02.26
WSL
Chelsea W
Liverpool W
2
0
L
08.02.26
WSL
Liverpool W
Aston Villa W
4
1
W
01.02.26
WSL
Manchester Utd W
Liverpool W
3
1
L
25.01.26
WSL
Liverpool W
Tottenham W
2
0
W
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, Man City W host Liverpool W in England WSL. Our analysis points to Man City W to win as the standout bet.

Man City W come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Liverpool W are inconsistent on the road — 6W 1D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Man City W have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Liverpool W, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.9 goals.

With all factors considered, man city w to win at 1.17 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this England WSL clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.17. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Man City W vs Liverpool W?
Our top pick is 1 — Man City W to win at around 1.17. Confidence: 67%.
What is Man City W's recent form?
Man City W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Liverpool W been performing?
Liverpool W: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Man City W 9 wins vs Liverpool W's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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