Tip WON  ·  Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda
🏆 Bulgaria EFBET League 📅 Thursday, 9th April 2026
LEV
Levski Sofia
D W W W L
1-0
VS
ARD
Arda
W W W L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Levski Sofia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.42
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-20.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 70.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -20.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Levski Sofia
D W W W L L W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Arda
W W W L D W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Levski Sofia6W
Draw4
Arda0W
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Levski Sofia wins6/10
Arda wins6/10
Goals per game2.7
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Levski Sofia: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Levski Sofia form
6-2-2
Arda form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Arda
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Key Analytics
Levski Sofia
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Arda
1.5
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
Match History
Head to Head
02.11.25
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
3
14.05.25
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
3
26.04.25
First League: Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
16.03.25
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
1
1
29.09.24
First League: Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
06.07.24
Friendly: Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
24.02.24
First League: Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
4
0
01.11.23
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
0
11.06.23
First League: Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
19.03.23
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
0
3
Recent Results
Levski Sofia
05.04.26
First League: Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
21.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia
Cherno More
2
1
W
15.03.26
First League: Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
W
09.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
05.03.26
First League: Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
01.03.26
First League: Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
4
3
W
22.02.26
First League: CSKA 1948 Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
3
W
15.02.26
First League: Levski Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
0
W
11.02.26
Bulgarian Cup: Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
0
L
07.02.26
First League: Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
1
W
Arda
04.04.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali
PFC Montana
2
1
W
21.03.26
First League: Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
W
16.03.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
07.03.26
First League: Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
L
04.03.26
First League: Cherno More
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
27.02.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
22.02.26
First League: Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
14.02.26
First League: Arda Kardzhali
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
11.02.26
Bulgarian Cup: Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
2
3
W
06.02.26
First League: CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
3
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Levski Sofia host Arda in Bulgaria EFBET League. Our analysis points to Levski Sofia to win as the standout bet.

Levski Sofia come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Arda are inconsistent on the road — 6W 2D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Levski Sofia have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Arda, who have taken 0 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, levski sofia to win at 1.42 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Bulgaria EFBET League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.42. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Levski Sofia vs Arda?
Our top pick is 1 — Levski Sofia to win at around 1.42. Confidence: 56%.
What is Levski Sofia's recent form?
Levski Sofia have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Arda been performing?
Arda: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Levski Sofia 6 wins vs Arda's 0, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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