Tip WON  ·  Hearts 3-0 Falkirk
🏆 Scotland Premiership 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
HEA
Hearts
D W W W D
3-0
VS
FAL
Falkirk
L W L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Hearts to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~50% implied
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Hearts to win @1.40
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -21.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Hearts
D W W W D W L W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Falkirk
L W L L L W L D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Hearts7W
Draw0
Falkirk3W
Supports Tip Hearts won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Hearts wins6/10
Falkirk wins4/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip Hearts: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Hearts form
4-1-5
Falkirk form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Hearts
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Falkirk
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Hearts
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Falkirk
1.8
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
Match History
Head to Head
21.02.26
PRE
Hearts
Falkirk
1
0
17.01.26
SC
Hearts
Falkirk (aet)
1
2
13.12.25
PRE
Falkirk
Hearts
0
2
27.09.25
PRE
Hearts
Falkirk
3
0
17.08.24
LC
Falkirk
Hearts
2
0
08.02.20
SC
Falkirk
Hearts
0
1
21.03.15
CHA
Falkirk
Hearts
0
3
24.01.15
CHA
Hearts
Falkirk
2
3
15.11.14
CHA
Falkirk
Hearts
1
2
30.08.14
CHA
Hearts
Falkirk
4
1
Recent Results
Hearts
09.05.26
PRE
Motherwell
Hearts
1
1
D
04.05.26
PRE
Hearts
Rangers
2
1
W
26.04.26
PRE
Hibernian
Hearts
1
2
W
11.04.26
PRE
Hearts
Motherwell
3
1
W
05.04.26
PRE
Livingston
Hearts
2
2
D
21.03.26
PRE
Hearts
Dundee FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
PRE
Kilmarnock
Hearts
1
0
L
28.02.26
PRE
Hearts
Aberdeen
1
0
W
21.02.26
PRE
Hearts
Falkirk
1
0
W
15.02.26
PRE
Rangers
Hearts
4
2
L
Falkirk
09.05.26
PRE
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
PRE
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.04.26
PRE
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
L
18.04.26
SC
Dunfermline
Falkirk
1
0
L
12.04.26
PRE
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
04.04.26
PRE
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
W
21.03.26
PRE
Falkirk
St. Mirren
1
2
L
14.03.26
PRE
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1
1
D
06.03.26
SC
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
1
W
28.02.26
PRE
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Hearts host Falkirk in Scotland Premiership. Our analysis points to Hearts to win as the standout bet.

Hearts come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Falkirk are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Hearts have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Falkirk, who have taken 3 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, hearts to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Scotland Premiership clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.40. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Hearts vs Falkirk?
Our top pick is 1 — Hearts to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 58%.
What is Hearts's recent form?
Hearts have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Falkirk been performing?
Falkirk: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Hearts 7 wins vs Falkirk's 3, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org