Tip WON  ·  Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Obolon
🏆 Ukraine Premier League 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
W L W L W
3-1
VS
OBO
Obolon
D D L D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
~50% implied
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win @1.20
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-33.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 83.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -33.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Shakhtar Donetsk
W L W L W W W D D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Obolon
D D L D L D L L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Shakhtar Donetsk10W
Draw0
Obolon0W
Supports Tip Shakhtar Donetsk won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Shakhtar Donetsk wins6/10
Obolon wins1/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Shakhtar Donetsk: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Shakhtar Donetsk form
1-5-4
Obolon form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Obolon
Overall
2.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
Key Analytics
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Obolon
1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
Match History
Head to Head
22.11.25
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
29.03.25
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
23.09.24
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
4
0
30.03.24
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
16.09.23
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
1
0
20.07.21
CF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
5
0
27.05.20
CF
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
23.08.14
CUP
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
06.11.11
PL
Obolon
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
10.07.11
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon
4
0
Recent Results
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.05.26
PL
SC Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
4
W
07.05.26
UECL
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
L
03.05.26
PL
Dyn. Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
W
30.04.26
UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
26.04.26
PL
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
W
23.04.26
PL
FK Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
W
20.04.26
PL
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polissya Zhytomyr
1
0
W
16.04.26
UECL
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
13.04.26
PL
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
09.04.26
UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
Obolon
09.05.26
PL
Obolon
Epitsentr
2
2
D
03.05.26
PL
Obolon
Kudrivka
1
1
D
26.04.26
PL
Polissya Zhytomyr
Obolon
3
1
L
17.04.26
PL
Obolon
SC Poltava
1
1
D
11.04.26
PL
Veres-Rivne
Obolon
2
0
L
05.04.26
PL
Obolon
FK Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
22.03.26
PL
Karpaty Lviv
Obolon
4
0
L
13.03.26
PL
Dyn. Kyiv
Obolon
2
1
L
07.03.26
PL
Obolon
Kryvbas
0
0
D
01.03.26
PL
Obolon
Rukh Lviv
1
0
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Shakhtar Donetsk host Obolon in Ukraine Premier League. Our analysis points to Shakhtar Donetsk to win as the standout bet.

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Obolon are struggling away from home — 1W 5D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Obolon, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, shakhtar donetsk to win at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Ukraine Premier League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.20. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon?
Our top pick is 1 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win at around 1.20. Confidence: 66%.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Obolon been performing?
Obolon: 1W 5D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Shakhtar Donetsk 10 wins vs Obolon's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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