Tip WON  ·  Grebbestad 4-3 Vanersborgs IF
🏆 Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland 📅 Thursday, 18th June 2026
GRE
Grebbestad
W L W W W
4-3
VS
VAN
Vanersborgs IF
D L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Grebbestad to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.46
~50% implied
Confidence
51%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Grebbestad to win @1.46
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 95%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-18.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 68.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -18.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Grebbestad
W L W W W L L W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Vanersborgs IF
D L L L L L W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Grebbestad4W
Draw2
Vanersborgs IF3W
Mixed Grebbestad won 4 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Grebbestad wins6/10
Vanersborgs IF wins1/10
Goals per game3.6
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Grebbestad: 6W 0D 4L from 10 games.
6-0-4
Grebbestad form
1-1-8
Vanersborgs IF form
56%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Grebbestad
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.7
Vanersborgs IF
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
0.0
Key Analytics
Grebbestad
2
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Vanersborgs IF
0.8
Goals
scored/game
3
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 64%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
Match History
Head to Head
16.08.25
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Grebbestad
1
1
23.05.25
DIV
Grebbestad
Vanersborgs IF
3
0
04.10.24
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Grebbestad
2
0
20.06.24
DIV
Grebbestad
Vanersborgs IF
4
0
14.08.20
DIV
Grebbestad
Vanersborgs IF
1
4
28.09.19
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Grebbestad
1
3
20.06.19
DIV
Grebbestad
Vanersborgs IF
0
0
08.09.17
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Grebbestad
2
1
24.05.17
DIV
Grebbestad
Vanersborgs IF
3
1
Recent Results
Grebbestad
12.06.26
DIV
IFK Skovde
Grebbestad
0
4
W
05.06.26
DIV
Grebbestad
Husqvarna
1
2
L
29.05.26
DIV
Vanersborgs FK
Grebbestad
2
3
W
23.05.26
DIV
Grebbestad
Motala
2
0
W
14.05.26
DIV
Lidkoping
Grebbestad
1
3
W
09.05.26
DIV
Grebbestad
Ahlafors IF
0
2
L
01.05.26
DIV
Skara
Grebbestad
3
1
L
25.04.26
DIV
Grebbestad
Tord
3
0
W
18.04.26
DIV
Grebbestad
Herrestads AIF
2
1
W
10.04.26
DIV
Stenungsunds
Grebbestad
2
1
L
Vanersborgs IF
15.06.26
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Herrestads AIF
2
2
D
04.06.26
DIV
Stenungsunds
Vanersborgs IF
5
0
L
31.05.26
DIV
Motala
Vanersborgs IF
2
0
L
22.05.26
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Husqvarna
0
4
L
15.05.26
DIV
IFK Skovde
Vanersborgs IF
6
2
L
08.05.26
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Lidkoping
0
1
L
01.05.26
DIV
Vanersborgs FK
Vanersborgs IF
1
2
W
24.04.26
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Skara
1
2
L
18.04.26
DIV
Ahlafors IF
Vanersborgs IF
3
0
L
11.04.26
DIV
Vanersborgs IF
Karlstad II
1
4
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Grebbestad host Vanersborgs IF in Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland. Our analysis points to Grebbestad to win as the standout bet.

Grebbestad come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Vanersborgs IF are struggling away from home — 1W 1D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 3 per match.

Historically, Grebbestad have won 4 of the last 9 meetings against Vanersborgs IF, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 56% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, grebbestad to win at 1.46 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Swe Div 2 Norra Gotaland clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.46. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF?
Our top pick is 1 — Grebbestad to win at around 1.46. Confidence: 51%.
What is Grebbestad's recent form?
Grebbestad have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Vanersborgs IF been performing?
Vanersborgs IF: 1W 1D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Grebbestad 4 wins vs Vanersborgs IF's 3, with 2 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 56%.