Tip WON Celtic 3-1 Dunfermline
Match Programme Saturday, 23rd May 2026
🏆 Scottish Cup
CD
C
Celtic
W W W W W
3
VS
D
Dunfermline
L D D W D
1
Expert Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Score 1-0 11.2%
Odds
1.50
Confidence
73%
STRONG PICK
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware · GamCare
Page 3
🎲 Betting Angles at a Glance
Key Stats For Bettors
Value Assessment — Our Probability vs Market Odds
Our Probability
90%
Analyst estimate
Market Implied
67%
From odds 1.50
Value Edge
+23%
Positive value bet
50%
Over 2.5
Goals Rate
55%
BTTS Rate
Recent
50%
H2H BTTS
Rate
2.8
H2H Avg
Goals/Game
Page 4
⚔ Head to Head
Historical Record
10
Celtic
0
Draws
0
Dunfermline
Supports Bet Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
Page 5
📊 Statistical Comparison
Performance Data
Celtic
Stat
Dunfermline
2.6
Goals Per Game
0.8
1.2
Conceded Per Game
0.9
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
9-0-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
90%
30%
Page 6
📈 Form Ratings
Analyst Grades
Celtic
Overall
9.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Dunfermline
Overall
4.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
7.0
Page 7
🎯 Score Predictions
Poisson Model
Based on both teams' goals-per-game averages. Probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.
Top Pick
1-0
11.2% probability
Alternative 1
1-1
11.2% probability
Alternative 2
2-0
9.8% probability
Page 8
🔀 Combination Markets
Probability Estimates
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes35%
Home Win & BTTS No29%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes12%
Away Win & BTTS No10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.532%
Home Win & Under 2.532%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.511%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
Page 9
📜 Match Archive
Results Log
Head to Head
17.08.19LC
Celtic
2
(a.e.t. 1-1) Dunfermline
1
22.02.12PRE
Celtic
2
Dunfermline
0
02.01.12PRE
Dunfermline
0
Celtic
3
23.11.11PRE
Celtic
2
Dunfermline
1
07.02.10SC
Dunfermline
2
Celtic
4
26.05.07SC
Celtic
1
Dunfermline
0
03.03.07PRE
Celtic
2
Dunfermline
1
10.12.06PRE
Dunfermline
1
Celtic
2
16.09.06PRE
Celtic
1
Dunfermline
0
19.03.06LC
Dunfermline
0
Celtic
3
Recent Results
Celtic
16.05.26PRE
Celtic
3
Hearts
1
W
13.05.26PRE
Motherwell
2
Celtic
3
W
10.05.26PRE
Celtic
3
Rangers
1
W
03.05.26PRE
Hibernian
1
Celtic
2
W
25.04.26PRE
Celtic
3
Falkirk
1
W
19.04.26SC
Celtic
6
St. Mirren
2
W
11.04.26PRE
Celtic
1
St. Mirren
0
W
05.04.26PRE
Dundee FC
1
Celtic
2
W
22.03.26PRE
Dundee Utd
2
Celtic
0
L
14.03.26PRE
Celtic
3
Motherwell
1
W
Dunfermline
15.05.26PRE
Partick Thistle
2
Dunfermline
1
L
12.05.26PRE
Dunfermline
1
Partick Thistle
1
D
08.05.26PRE
Arbroath
0
Dunfermline
0
D
05.05.26PRE
Dunfermline
1
Arbroath
0
W
01.05.26CHA
Dunfermline
0
Arbroath
0
D
25.04.26CHA
Queen’s Park
0
Dunfermline
2
W
21.04.26CHA
Dunfermline
0
St Johnstone
2
L
18.04.26SC
Dunfermline
1
(a.e.t. 0-0) Falkirk
0
W
14.04.26CHA
Airdrieonians
2
Dunfermline
2
D
11.04.26CHA
Partick Thistle
2
Dunfermline
0
L
Page 10
📝 Expert Analysis
Match Preview

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Celtic host Dunfermline in Scottish Cup. Our analysts back over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Celtic arrive in strong form: 9W 0D 1L from 10 matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Dunfermline are struggling away from home: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games.

H2H: Celtic lead with 10 wins vs Dunfermline's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. BTTS in 50% of those games.

Verdict: over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is our best value angle for this fixture.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Scottish Cup clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.50. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Page 11
❓ Common Questions
Bettor FAQ
What is the best bet for Celtic vs Dunfermline?
Selection: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at ~1.50. Confidence: 73%.
What is Celtic's recent form?
Celtic: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games.
How has Dunfermline been performing?
Dunfermline: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games.
What does the H2H record show?
Celtic 10W vs Dunfermline 0W, 0 draws in 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Average 2.8 goals/game. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.