Tip LOST  ·  Botafogo RJ 1-1 Caracas
🏆 Copa Sudamericana 📅 Thursday, 9th April 2026
BOT
Botafogo RJ
W W L W L
1-1
VS
CAR
Caracas
W D W D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Botafogo RJ to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
~50% implied
Confidence
46%
Solid Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-29.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 79.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -29.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Botafogo RJ
W W L W L L L W D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
Caracas
W D W D L D D L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
Botafogo RJ wins4/10
Caracas wins2/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals
Caution Botafogo RJ: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Botafogo RJ form
2-5-3
Caracas form
H2H BTTS rate
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Botafogo RJ
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.7
Caracas
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Botafogo RJ
1.3
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Caracas
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
Botafogo RJ
05.04.26
Brasileirão Série A: Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
1
2
W
01.04.26
Brasileirão Série A: Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Athletico-PR
Botafogo
4
1
L
21.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Red Bull Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
W
18.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
L
15.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
Copa Libertadores (Qual.): Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Campeonato Carioca (Final): Botafogo
Bangu
3
1
W
04.03.26
Copa Libertadores (Qual.): Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Campeonato Carioca (SF): Botafogo
Boavista
0
0
D
Caracas
04.04.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC
Metropolitanos
1
0
W
23.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Monagas SC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
18.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC
Trujillanos
4
2
W
14.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Portuguesa FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
07.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC
Deportivo Táchira
0
1
L
04.03.26
Sudamericana: Caracas FC
Metropolitanos (Won 5-4 on Pens)
0
0
W
28.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC
Universidad Central
1
2
L
14.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
0
L
07.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Botafogo RJ host Caracas in Copa Sudamericana. Our analysis points to Botafogo RJ to win as the standout bet.

Botafogo RJ come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Caracas are struggling away from home — 2W 5D 3L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1 per match.

With all factors considered, botafogo rj to win at 1.26 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Copa Sudamericana clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.26. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Botafogo RJ vs Caracas?
Our top pick is 1 — Botafogo RJ to win at around 1.26. Confidence: 46%.
What is Botafogo RJ's recent form?
Botafogo RJ have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Caracas been performing?
Caracas: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals.
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