✓ Tip WON  ·  Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3-1 Baghdad
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Tuesday, 17th March 2026
AL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W W W W W
3-1
VS
BAG
Baghdad
L L L L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~60% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
72%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win @1.28
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-18.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -18.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W W W W W
🔥 Hot 5 in a row
Momentum 100%
Baghdad
L L L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3W
Draw2
Baghdad0W
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins5/5
Baghdad wins0/5
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals1.8
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 5W 0D 0L from 5 games.
5-0-0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya form
0-2-3
Baghdad form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
1.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Overall
10.0 —
Scoring
6.0 —
Defence
8.0 —
Baghdad
Overall
1.2 —
Scoring
1.3 —
Defence
3.3 —
Key Analytics
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baghdad
0.4
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
13.01.26
SL: Baghdad
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
2
26.06.24
SL: Baghdad
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
2
09.03.24
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Baghdad
1
1
09.05.22
SL: Baghdad
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
0
31.10.21
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Baghdad
2
1
Recent Results
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
13.03.26
SL: Diyala
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
1
06.03.26
SL: Al Gharraf
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
28.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Najaf
2
0
20.02.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
13.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Newroz
2
1
Baghdad
12.03.26
SL: Baghdad
Newroz
0
2
01.03.26
SL: Baghdad
Al Naft
1
2
22.02.26
SL: Al Kahraba
Baghdad
5
0
06.02.26
SL: Baghdad
Al Minaa
0
0
31.01.26
SL: Baghdad
Erbil
1
1
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Baghdad?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 72%.
What is Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent form?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 — very good form.
How has Baghdad been performing?
Baghdad: 0W 2D 3L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 wins vs Baghdad's 0, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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