Tip WON  ·  Borneo 3-0 Semen Padang
🏆 Indonesia Super League 📅 Saturday, 25th April 2026
BOR
Borneo
W W W D W
3-0
VS
SEM
Semen Padang
L L L W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Borneo to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~50% implied
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Borneo to win @1.31
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-26.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Borneo
W W W D W D W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Semen Padang
L L L W D L D L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Borneo4W
Draw3
Semen Padang2W
Mixed Borneo won 4 of the last 9 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Borneo wins7/10
Semen Padang wins2/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals2.1
Supports Tip Borneo: 7W 2D 1L from 10 games.
7-2-1
Borneo form
2-3-5
Semen Padang form
56%
H2H BTTS rate
2.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Borneo
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Semen Padang
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
Key Analytics
Borneo
2.6
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Semen Padang
0.6
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
09.11.25
SL
Semen Padang
Borneo
0
2
14.01.25
SL
Borneo
Semen Padang
1
3
12.08.24
SL
Semen Padang
Borneo
1
3
17.12.19
SL
Semen Padang
Borneo
1
1
24.08.19
SL
Borneo
Semen Padang
1
0
31.08.17
SL
Semen Padang
Borneo
1
1
08.05.17
SL
Borneo
Semen Padang
1
0
11.11.16
SL
Semen Padang
Borneo
2
1
20.07.16
SL
Borneo
Semen Padang
0
0
Recent Results
Borneo
18.04.26
SL
PSM Makassar
Borneo
1
2
W
11.04.26
SL
Borneo
PSBS Biak Numfor
5
1
W
05.04.26
SL
Madura United
Borneo
1
3
W
15.03.26
SL
Borneo
Persib Bandung
1
1
D
07.03.26
SL
Borneo
Persebaya
5
1
W
03.03.26
SL
Persija Jakarta
Borneo
2
2
D
26.02.26
SL
Borneo
Arema FC
3
1
W
22.02.26
SL
Dewena United
Borneo
2
1
L
07.02.26
SL
FC Bhayangkara
Borneo
1
2
W
01.02.26
SL
Borneo
PSIM Yogyakarta
2
1
W
Semen Padang
20.04.26
SL
Semen Padang
Persijap Jepara
0
2
L
12.04.26
SL
Persis Solo
Semen Padang
2
1
L
05.04.26
SL
Semen Padang
Persib Bandung
0
2
L
09.03.26
SL
PSBS Biak Numfor
Semen Padang
0
2
W
04.03.26
SL
Semen Padang
PSIM Yogyakarta
0
0
D
24.02.26
SL
FC Bhayangkara
Semen Padang
4
0
L
20.02.26
SL
Semen Padang
Malut United
2
2
D
15.02.26
SL
Arema FC
Semen Padang
3
0
L
08.02.26
SL
Semen Padang
Persita
1
0
W
02.02.26
SL
PSM Makassar
Semen Padang
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 25th April 2026, Borneo host Semen Padang in Indonesia Super League. Our analysis points to Borneo to win as the standout bet.

Borneo come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Semen Padang are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.5 per match.

Historically, Borneo have won 4 of the last 9 meetings against Semen Padang, who have taken 2 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 56% of those games, averaging 2.1 goals.

With all factors considered, borneo to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Indonesia Super League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.31. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Borneo vs Semen Padang?
Our top pick is 1 — Borneo to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 55%.
What is Borneo's recent form?
Borneo have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Semen Padang been performing?
Semen Padang: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Borneo 4 wins vs Semen Padang's 2, with 3 draws in 9 meetings. Avg 2.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 56%.
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