Tip LOST  ·  G.A. Eagles 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
🏆 Eredivisie 📅 Thursday, 23rd April 2026
G.A
G.A. Eagles
D W L W L
0-0
VS
AZ
AZ Alkmaar
W D W L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.42
~90% implied
Confidence
84%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.42
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+19.6%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 70.4% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +19.6% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 66.2% $662.00
Half Kelly 33.1% $331.00
Quarter Kelly 16.6% $166.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
G.A. Eagles
D W L W L W W L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
AZ Alkmaar
W D W L W L W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
G.A. Eagles1W
Draw2
AZ Alkmaar7W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 90% of H2H meetings (avg 4).
📈 Recent Form
G.A. Eagles wins4/10
AZ Alkmaar wins6/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals4
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 70% of recent games.
4-2-4
G.A. Eagles form
6-1-3
AZ Alkmaar form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
G.A. Eagles
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
AZ Alkmaar
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
G.A. Eagles
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
AZ Alkmaar
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Match History
Head to Head
07.12.25
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
2
2
04.05.25
ERE
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
21.04.25
KNV
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
1
2
27.10.24
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
2
2
12.05.24
ERE
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
0
3
13.08.23
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
5
1
25.01.23
ERE
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
07.08.22
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
2
0
13.02.22
ERE
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
1
4
26.09.21
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
5
0
Recent Results
G.A. Eagles
11.04.26
ERE
Groningen
G.A. Eagles
0
0
D
05.04.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
Zwolle
5
0
W
22.03.26
ERE
Utrecht
G.A. Eagles
2
0
L
15.03.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
NAC Breda
6
0
W
08.03.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
Twente
1
4
L
01.03.26
ERE
Excelsior
G.A. Eagles
0
1
W
22.02.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
Heracles
4
0
W
15.02.26
ERE
Feyenoord
G.A. Eagles
1
0
L
11.02.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
Heerenveen
1
3
L
08.02.26
ERE
G.A. Eagles
Telstar
1
1
D
AZ Alkmaar
19.04.26
KNV
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen
5
1
W
16.04.26
UECL
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
L
04.04.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
ERE
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
L
19.03.26
UECL
Sparta Prague
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
W
15.03.26
ERE
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
W
12.03.26
UECL
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Prague
2
1
W
07.03.26
ERE
PSV
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, G.A. Eagles host AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

G.A. Eagles come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

AZ Alkmaar are inconsistent on the road — 6W 1D 3L in 10 games, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, G.A. Eagles have won 1 of the last 10 meetings against AZ Alkmaar, who have taken 7 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 4 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.42 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Eredivisie clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.42. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.42. Confidence: 84%.
What is G.A. Eagles's recent form?
G.A. Eagles have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has AZ Alkmaar been performing?
AZ Alkmaar: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
G.A. Eagles 1 wins vs AZ Alkmaar's 7, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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