Tip LOST  ·  Esperance Tunis 2-2 Zarzis
🏆 Tunisian League 📅 Thursday, 23rd April 2026
ESP
Esperance Tunis
L L D W W
2-2
VS
ZAR
Zarzis
W D W L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Esperance Tunis to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Esperance Tunis to win @1.32
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Esperance Tunis
L L D W W W W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Zarzis
D D D L D L L D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Esperance Tunis6W
Draw1
Zarzis3W
Supports Tip Esperance Tunis won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Esperance Tunis wins5/10
Zarzis wins0/10
Goals per game1.6
H2H avg goals2.5
Mixed Esperance Tunis: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Esperance Tunis form
0-6-4
Zarzis form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Esperance Tunis
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
8.0
Zarzis
Overall
1.8
Scoring
1.0
Defence
7.0
Key Analytics
Esperance Tunis
1.4
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Zarzis
0.3
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 33%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 33%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
22.10.25
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
0
0
18.05.25
CUP
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
3
1
19.02.25
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
4
2
20.10.24
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
0
27.04.18
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
0
29.11.17
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
2
0
19.02.17
CUP
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
2
0
29.05.16
LP1
Zarzis
Esperance Tunis
1
2
30.12.15
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
1
2
22.03.15
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Zarzis
2
1
Recent Results
Esperance Tunis
18.04.26
CL
Mamelodi Sundowns
Esperance Tunis
1
0
L
12.04.26
CL
Esperance Tunis
Mamelodi Sundowns
0
1
L
04.04.26
LP1
Etoile Sahel
Esperance Tunis
0
0
D
28.03.26
CUP
WS Hamma
Esperance Tunis
0
5
W
21.03.26
CL
Al Ahly
Esperance Tunis
2
3
W
15.03.26
CL
Esperance Tunis
Al Ahly
1
0
W
07.03.26
LP1
Esperance Tunis
AS Marsa
1
0
W
01.03.26
LP1
Olympique Beja
Esperance Tunis
0
3
W
25.02.26
LP1
Metlaoui
Esperance Tunis
1
1
D
21.02.26
LP1
Esperance Tunis
Stade Tunisien
1
0
W
Zarzis
19.04.26
CUP
Monastir
Zarzis (1 - 3 Pens)
1
1
W
04.04.26
LP1
Zarzis
Stade Tunisien
0
0
D
22.03.26
CUP
Zarzis
Korba (Penalties)
0
0
W
06.03.26
LP1
Soliman
Zarzis
1
0
L
27.02.26
LP1
Zarzis
JS Kairouan
1
1
D
15.02.26
LP1
Monastir
Zarzis
3
0
L
07.02.26
LP1
Zarzis
AS Gabes
0
1
L
31.01.26
LP1
Ben Guerdane
Zarzis
0
0
D
27.01.26
LP1
Zarzis
Club Africain
0
0
D
23.01.26
LP1
JS Omrane
Zarzis
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, Esperance Tunis host Zarzis in Tunisian League. Our analysis points to Esperance Tunis to win as the standout bet.

Esperance Tunis come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Zarzis are struggling away from home — 0W 6D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Esperance Tunis have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Zarzis, who have taken 3 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, esperance tunis to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Tunisian League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.32. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Esperance Tunis vs Zarzis?
Our top pick is 1 — Esperance Tunis to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 53%.
What is Esperance Tunis's recent form?
Esperance Tunis have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Zarzis been performing?
Zarzis: 0W 6D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Esperance Tunis 6 wins vs Zarzis's 3, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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