🏆 Wales Cymru South 📅 Friday, 20th March 2026
AMM
Ammanford
W W L W D
VS
BAG
Baglan Dragons
L L W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Ammanford to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Ammanford to win @1.35
Goals Over 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Ammanford
W W L W D L L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
Baglan Dragons
L L W L L L L D D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Ammanford3W
Draw2
Baglan Dragons0W
Supports Tip Ammanford won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Ammanford wins6/10
Baglan Dragons wins2/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Ammanford: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Ammanford form
2-2-6
Baglan Dragons form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Ammanford
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.3
Baglan Dragons
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Ammanford
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baglan Dragons
0.7
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
28.11.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
0
3
12.04.25
FAW: Ammanford
Baglan Dragons
1
1
18.08.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
0
2
17.02.24
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Ammanford
1
3
08.12.23
FAW: Ammanford
Baglan Dragons
2
2
Recent Results
Ammanford
14.03.26
FAW: Llantwit Major
Ammanford
2
3
W
06.03.26
FAW: Ammanford
Cardiff Draconians
2
1
W
01.03.26
FAW: Afan Lido
Ammanford
3
1
L
24.02.26
FAW: Ammanford
Aberystwyth
2
1
W
13.02.26
FAW: Ammanford
Trethomas Bluebirds
0
0
D
07.02.26
FAW: Caerau Ely
Ammanford
3
1
L
23.01.26
FAW: Ammanford
Trefelin
0
4
L
09.01.26
FAW: Pontypridd
Ammanford
0
3
W
03.01.26
FAW: Ammanford
Ynyshir Albions
2
0
W
26.12.25
FAW: Carmarthen Town
Ammanford
0
1
W
Baglan Dragons
17.03.26
FAW: Treowen
Baglan Dragons
4
1
L
14.03.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Caerau Ely
0
5
L
06.03.26
FAW: Newport City
Baglan Dragons
1
2
W
21.02.26
FAW: Pontypridd
Baglan Dragons
2
0
L
17.02.26
FAW: Trefelin
Baglan Dragons
3
0
L
14.02.26
FAW: Cardiff Draconians
Baglan Dragons
3
1
L
07.02.26
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Aberystwyth
0
1
L
24.01.26
FAW: Ynyshir Albions
Baglan Dragons
0
0
D
03.01.26
FAW: Llantwit Major
Baglan Dragons
0
0
D
26.12.25
FAW: Baglan Dragons
Afan Lido
3
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Ammanford host Baglan Dragons in Wales Cymru South. Our analysis points to Ammanford to win as the standout bet.

Ammanford come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Baglan Dragons are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Ammanford have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Baglan Dragons, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, ammanford to win at 1.35 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Wales Cymru South clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.35. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?
Our top pick is 1 — Ammanford to win at around 1.35. Confidence: 56%.
What is Ammanford's recent form?
Ammanford have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Baglan Dragons been performing?
Baglan Dragons: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Ammanford 3 wins vs Baglan Dragons's 0, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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