🏆 Hungary NB 1 📅 Friday, 20th March 2026
MTK
MTK Budapest
D D D L D
VS
PAK
Paks
D D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
BTTS
We're backing both teams to score in this fixture.
Odds
1.38
~100% implied
Confidence
85%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main BTTS — both teams to score @1.38
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 75%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+27.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 72.5% but our model gives it 100%. That's a +27.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 100% $1,000.00
Half Kelly 50% $500.00
Quarter Kelly 25% $250.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
MTK Budapest
D D D L D L L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Paks
D D L L L L L L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
MTK Budapest1W
Draw2
Paks7W
Supports Tip BTTS in 7 of 10 H2H games (70%).
📈 Recent Form
MTK Budapest wins2/10
Paks wins1/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals3.5
Supports Tip BTTS in 75% of both teams' recent matches.
2-4-4
MTK Budapest form
1-2-7
Paks form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
MTK Budapest
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.7
Paks
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
MTK Budapest
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Paks
1.1
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 38%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 33%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
06.12.25
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
3
1
24.08.25
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
2
3
11.04.25
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
1
2
07.12.24
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
4
2
03.12.24
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
3
1
03.03.24
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
0
2
05.11.23
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
0
0
28.07.23
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
1
1
16.04.22
NBI: Paksi FC
MTK Budapest
4
0
18.12.21
NBI: MTK Budapest
Paksi FC
1
4
Recent Results
MTK Budapest
13.03.26
NBI: ETO Győr
MTK Budapest
0
0
D
08.03.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
DVTK
1
1
D
27.02.26
NBI: Debrecen
MTK Budapest
2
2
D
23.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
Ferencváros
1
3
L
14.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
Puskás Academy
2
2
D
11.02.26
HC: MTK Budapest
Kecskeméti TE
1
2
L
08.02.26
NBI: Nyíregyháza
MTK Budapest
4
2
L
31.01.26
NBI: MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcika
1
3
L
24.01.26
NBI: Kisvárda
MTK Budapest
2
3
W
17.01.26
CF: MTK Budapest
Ajka
1
0
W
Paks
14.03.26
NBI: Paksi FC
Zalaegerszegi
1
1
D
07.03.26
NBI: Újpest
Paksi FC
0
0
D
28.02.26
NBI: Kisvárda
Paksi FC
2
1
L
22.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
ETO Győr
3
4
L
14.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
DVTK
1
2
L
11.02.26
HC: Paksi FC
DVTK
2
6
L
07.02.26
NBI: Debrecen
Paksi FC
1
0
L
01.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC
Ferencváros
0
1
L
24.01.26
NBI: Puskás Academy
Paksi FC
1
2
W
16.01.26
CF: Widzew Łódź
Paksi FC
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 20th March 2026, MTK Budapest host Paks in Hungary NB 1. Our analysis points to both teams to score as the standout bet.

MTK Budapest come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Paks are struggling away from home — 1W 2D 7L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, MTK Budapest have won 1 of the last 10 meetings against Paks, who have taken 7 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.5 goals.

With all factors considered, both teams to score at 1.38 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Hungary NB 1 clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with BTTS, which offers fantastic value at @1.38. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for MTK Budapest vs Paks?
Our top pick is BTTS — both teams to score at around 1.38. Confidence: 85%.
What is MTK Budapest's recent form?
MTK Budapest have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Paks been performing?
Paks: 1W 2D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
MTK Budapest 1 wins vs Paks's 7, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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