Tip WON  ·  Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3-1 Baghdad
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Tuesday, 17th March 2026
AL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W W W W W
3-1
VS
BAG
Baghdad
L L L L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~60% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win @1.28
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-18.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -18.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W W W W W
🔥 Hot 5 in a row
Momentum 100%
Baghdad
L L L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Quwa Al Jawiya3W
Draw2
Baghdad0W
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins5/5
Baghdad wins0/5
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals1.8
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 5W 0D 0L from 5 games.
5-0-0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya form
0-2-3
Baghdad form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
1.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Overall
10.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.0
Baghdad
Overall
1.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baghdad
0.4
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
13.01.26
SL: Baghdad
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
2
26.06.24
SL: Baghdad
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
2
09.03.24
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Baghdad
1
1
09.05.22
SL: Baghdad
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
0
31.10.21
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Baghdad
2
1
Recent Results
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
13.03.26
SL: Diyala
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
1
06.03.26
SL: Al Gharraf
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
28.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Najaf
2
0
20.02.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
13.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Newroz
2
1
Baghdad
12.03.26
SL: Baghdad
Newroz
0
2
01.03.26
SL: Baghdad
Al Naft
1
2
22.02.26
SL: Al Kahraba
Baghdad
5
0
06.02.26
SL: Baghdad
Al Minaa
0
0
31.01.26
SL: Baghdad
Erbil
1
1
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 17th March 2026, Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win as the standout bet.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya come into this in strong form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Baghdad are struggling away from home — 0W 2D 3L in 5 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Baghdad, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 1.8 goals.

With all factors considered, al quwa al jawiya to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Baghdad?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 72%.
What is Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent form?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 — very good form.
How has Baghdad been performing?
Baghdad: 0W 2D 3L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 wins vs Baghdad's 0, with 2 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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