🏆 Estonian Cup 📅 Tuesday, 10th March 2026
FLO
Flora
W L L W W
VS
NOM
Nomme Utd
L W W D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Flora to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.14
~60% implied
Confidence
65%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Flora to win @1.14
Goals Over 2.5 90%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-27.7%
edge
No Value
Market implies 87.7% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -27.7% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Flora
W L L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Nomme Utd
L W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Flora4W
Draw1
Nomme Utd0W
Supports Tip Flora won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Flora wins3/5
Nomme Utd wins2/5
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Flora: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games.
3-0-2
Flora form
2-1-2
Nomme Utd form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Flora
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.3
Nomme Utd
Overall
4.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
2.7
Key Analytics
Flora
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Nomme Utd
2.4
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 50%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ ML (07.03.26): Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
⚽ ML (05.10.24): Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
⚽ ML (18.08.24): Flora
Nomme Utd
1
0
⚽ ML (29.06.24): Nomme Utd
Flora
1
1
⚽ ML (01.03.24): Flora
Nomme Utd
2
0
Recent Results
Flora
⚽ ML (07.03.26): Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
⚽ SC (28.02.26): Flora
Kalju
1
3
⚽ CF (24.02.26): Flora
Riga FC
0
3
⚽ CF (20.02.26): Paide
Flora
1
3
⚽ CF (14.02.26): Flora
Levadia
1
0
Nomme Utd
⚽ ML (07.03.26): Flora
Nomme Utd
3
0
⚽ CF (20.02.26): Viimsi JK
Nomme Utd
1
5
⚽ CF (14.02.26): Nomme Utd
FC Tallinn
3
0
⚽ CF (07.02.26): Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
3
3
⚽ CF (01.02.26): Nomme Utd
Jelgava
1
4
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Flora host Nomme Utd in Estonian Cup. Our analysis points to Flora to win as the standout bet.

Flora come into this showing mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Nomme Utd are inconsistent on the road — 2W 1D 2L in 5 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.2 per match.

Historically, Flora have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Nomme Utd, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 20% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, flora to win at 1.14 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


FC Flora dictates the landscape of Estonian football, consistently fielding a squad brimming with national team stars and seasoned professionals who understand exactly how to win domestic titles.

They overwhelm domestic opponents with superior fitness, advanced tactical structures, and clinical finishing. They treat every single league match as an opportunity to assert their absolute dominance over the division.

They move the ball with a speed and precision that lesser teams simply cannot comprehend or contain. Nomme United steps onto the pitch representing a significantly smaller operation, fielding players who lack the elite conditioning and experience of their illustrious hosts.

They fight bravely and try to maintain a compact defensive shape, but they inevitably wear down as the match progresses. FC Flora will patiently probe the Nomme defense, pulling their players out of position before delivering the fatal blow.

The sheer depth of the Flora bench means they can introduce fresh, high-quality attackers late in the game to punish tired legs. Nomme United travels with the sole ambition of keeping the scoreline respectable, but Flora shows absolutely no mercy when playing in front of their own fans.

Expect the home side to secure a highly comfortable, dominant victory that highlights the extreme disparity in resources and talent between the two clubs.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Flora vs Nomme Utd?
Our top pick is 1 — Flora to win at around 1.14. Confidence: 65%.
What is Flora's recent form?
Flora have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Nomme Utd been performing?
Nomme Utd: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Flora 4 wins vs Nomme Utd's 0, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
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