๐Ÿ† Uzbekistan Super League ๐Ÿ“… Tuesday, 10th March 2026
NEF
Neftchi Fargona
W W W W L
VS
AND
Andijan
L W L D D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Neftchi Fargona to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.43
~50% implied
Confidence
โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…
57%
Solid Pick
โš  18+ ยท Gamble responsibly ยท Tips are not guarantees ยท GambleAware ยท GamCare
Supporting Bets
โ˜… Main 1 โ€” Neftchi Fargona to win @1.43
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
๐Ÿ“Š Value Assessment
-19.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -19.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Kelly Criterion
โš  Kelly returns a negative stake โ€” the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Neftchi Fargona
W W W W L
ใ€ฐ Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Andijan
L W L D D
ใ€ฐ Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
โš” Head to Head
Neftchi Fargona2W
Draw3
Andijan0W
Against Neftchi Fargona won 2 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona wins4/5
Andijan wins1/5
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals1.6
Supports Tip Neftchi Fargona: 4W 0D 1L from 5 games.
4-0-1
Neftchi Fargona form
1-2-2
Andijan form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
1.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Neftchi Fargona
Overall
8.0 โ€”
Scoring
8.7 โ€”
Defence
7.3 โ€”
Andijan
Overall
3.2 โ€”
Scoring
4.7 โ€”
Defence
6.7 โ€”
Key Analytics
Neftchi Fargona
2.6
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Andijan
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 54%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
Match History
Head to Head
โšฝ SL (05.10.25): Neftchi Fargona
Andijan
2
0
โšฝ SL (09.05.25): Andijan
Neftchi Fargona
0
2
โšฝ SL (25.09.24): Andijan
Neftchi Fargona
0
0
โšฝ SL (12.05.24): Neftchi Fargona
Andijan
2
2
โšฝ SL (31.08.23): Neftchi Fargona
Andijan
0
0
Recent Results
Neftchi Fargona
โšฝ SL (05.03.26): Termez Surkhon
Neftchi Fargona
0
3
โšฝ SL (28.02.26): Neftchi Fargona
Mashal Muborak
3
0
โšฝ CF (10.02.26): Neftchi Fargona
Dinamo Batumi
4
1
โšฝ CF (07.02.26): Oleksandriya
Neftchi Fargona
1
2
โšฝ CF (31.01.26): Neftchi Fargona
Arkadag
1
2
Andijan
โšฝ SL (04.03.26): Qizilqum
Andijan
2
1
โšฝ SL (27.02.26): Andijan
Sogdiana
4
0
โšฝ CF (17.02.26): Dynamo Makhachkala
Andijan
2
1
โšฝ CF (05.02.26): FK Zorya Luhansk
Andijan
0
0
โšฝ CF (20.01.26): Vardar
Andijan
1
1
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Neftchi Fargona host Andijan in Uzbekistan Super League. Our analysis points to Neftchi Fargona to win as the standout bet.

Neftchi Fargona come into this in strong form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Andijan are struggling away from home โ€” 1W 2D 2L in 5 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Neftchi Fargona have won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Andijan, who have taken 0 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 20% of those games, averaging 1.6 goals.

With all factors considered, neftchi fargona to win at 1.43 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Neftchi Fergana currently operates like an unstoppable machine, sitting proudly at the very top of the Uzbekistan Super League and terrifying opponents with their flawless form.

They construct an impenetrable defensive wall that completely neutralizes opposing attackers, while their own forwards finish chances with ice-cold precision. They treat their home stadium as an absolute fortress, suffocating visiting teams with a high-pressing system that forces constant turnovers.

They demand perfection from every player on the pitch, knowing that championship titles require absolute consistency week after week. Andijan travels to this daunting fixture representing the definition of mid-table mediocrity.

They struggle immensely to create meaningful scoring opportunities, especially when forced to play away from home against elite defensive units. They lack a genuine game-changer who can produce a moment of magic to unlock a stubborn defense. Neftchi will completely dictate the terms of engagement.

They will starve Andijan of the ball, meticulously break down their defensive shape, and calmly convert the inevitable scoring chances that arise.

The home side operates on a completely different level of quality and confidence right now. Trusting Neftchi Fergana to continue their dominant march toward the league title with a clean, professional home victory offers phenomenal value.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Andijan?
Our top pick is 1 โ€” Neftchi Fargona to win at around 1.43. Confidence: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's recent form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 โ€” very good form.
How has Andijan been performing?
Andijan: 1W 2D 2L from 5 games โ€” poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Neftchi Fargona 2 wins vs Andijan's 0, with 3 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
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