FC
FC Porto
W
W
D
L
W
1-0
VS
ARO
Arouca
W
L
W
W
L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing FC Porto to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
~73% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 66%
Strong Pick
⚠
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees ·
GambleAware ·
GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
1 — FC Porto to win
@1.19
Arouca Clean Sheet
Away CS
60%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-11%
edge
No Value
Market implies 84% probability. Our estimate is 73%, a -11% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
FC Porto
W
L
D
W
W
〰 Mixed
2 in a row
Arouca
D
L
W
W
L
〰 Mixed
1 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
FC Porto3W
Draw1
Arouca1W
Supports Tip
FC Porto won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
FC Porto wins3/5
Arouca wins2/5
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals3.4
Supports Tip
FC Porto: 3W 1D 1L from 5 games.
3-1-1
FC Porto form
2-1-2
Arouca form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
FC Porto
1.4
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Arouca
1.4
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Combination Markets
Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Home Win & BTTS No
25%
Draw & BTTS Yes
9%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Away Win & BTTS No
17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
25%
Home Win & Under 2.5
25%
Draw & Over 2.5
9%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
17%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Match History
Head to Head
03.09.23
: FC Porto
Arouca
1
1
12.02.24
: Arouca
FC Porto
3
2
29.09.24
: FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
01.03.25
: Arouca
FC Porto
0
2
29.09.25
: Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
Recent Results
FC Porto
29.01.26
: FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
02.02.26
: Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
09.02.26
: FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
15.02.26
: Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
22.02.26
: FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
Arouca
21.12.25
: Santa Clara
Arouca
0
0
03.01.26
: Tondela
Arouca
3
1
17.01.26
: AFS
Arouca
0
1
31.01.26
: Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
14.02.26
: Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FC Porto vs Arouca?
Our top pick is 1 — FC Porto to win at around 1.19. Confidence: 66%.
What is FC Porto's recent form?
FC Porto have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Arouca been performing?
Arouca: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
FC Porto 3 wins vs Arouca's 1, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.