Tip WON  ·  Trabzonspor 3 - 1 Karagumruk
🏆 Turkey Super Lig 📅 Friday, 27th February 2026
TRA
Trabzonspor
W L W W D
3 - 1
VS
KAR
Karagumruk
D L W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Trabzonspor to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~60% implied
Confidence
52%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Trabzonspor to win @1.40
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 100%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 84%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-11.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -11.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Trabzonspor
D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 67%
Karagumruk
L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Trabzonspor1W
Draw4
Karagumruk0W
Against Trabzonspor won 1 of the last 5 meetings (4 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Trabzonspor wins2/3
Karagumruk wins0/2
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals4.4
Supports Tip Trabzonspor: 2W 1D 0L from 3 games.
2-1-0
Trabzonspor form
0-0-2
Karagumruk form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
4.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Trabzonspor
Overall
7.7
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.8
Karagumruk
Overall
0.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
1.7
Key Analytics
Trabzonspor
2
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
33%
Clean
sheets
Karagumruk
1.5
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 62%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 62%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
29.10.23
: KAR
TRA
0
0
09.03.24
: TRA
KAR
5
1
24.04.24
: TRA
KAR - CUP
3
2
08.05.24
: KAR
TRA - CUP
0
4
27.09.25
: KAR
TRA
3
4
Recent Results
Trabzonspor
30.01.26
: ANT
TRA
1
1
03.02.26
: TRA
FET - CUP
3
0
07.02.26
: SAM
TRA
0
3
14.02.26
: TRA
FEN
2
3
22.02.26
: GAZ
TRA
1
2
Karagumruk
31.01.26
: GOZ
KAR
2
1
04.02.26
: KAR
BAS - CUP
1
4
07.02.26
: KAR
ANT
1
0
16.02.26
: KAS
KAR
3
2
22.02.26
: KAR
SAM
0
0
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 27th February 2026, Trabzonspor host Karagumruk in Turkey Super Lig. Our analysis points to Trabzonspor to win as the standout bet.

Trabzonspor come into this in strong form, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 3 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Karagumruk are struggling away from home — 0W 0D 2L in 2 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5 per match.

Historically, Trabzonspor have won 1 of the last 5 meetings against Karagumruk, who have taken 0 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 4.4 goals.

With all factors considered, trabzonspor to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Trabzonspor vs Karagumruk?
Our top pick is 1 — Trabzonspor to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 52%.
What is Trabzonspor's recent form?
Trabzonspor have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 — decent form.
How has Karagumruk been performing?
Karagumruk: 0W 0D 2L from 2 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Trabzonspor 1 wins vs Karagumruk's 0, with 4 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 4.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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