Tip WON  ·  AC Oulu 2-1 Mariehamn
🏆 Finland Veikkausliiga 📅 Thursday, 18th June 2026
AC
AC Oulu
D W W W L
2-1
VS
MAR
Mariehamn
L L L L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing AC Oulu to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — AC Oulu to win @1.28
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-28.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
AC Oulu
D W W W L W L L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Mariehamn
L L L L D W D L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
AC Oulu5W
Draw1
Mariehamn4W
Mixed AC Oulu won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
AC Oulu wins5/10
Mariehamn wins2/10
Goals per game2
H2H avg goals3.1
Mixed AC Oulu: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
5-1-4
AC Oulu form
2-2-6
Mariehamn form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
AC Oulu
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.0
Mariehamn
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
5.7
Key Analytics
AC Oulu
1.1
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Mariehamn
0.7
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
Match History
Head to Head
18.10.25
VEI
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
2
0
26.07.25
VEI
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
0
1
17.05.25
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
0
1
19.10.24
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
1
2
01.09.24
VEI
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
2
1
17.05.24
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
1
1
16.09.23
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
3
2
09.07.23
VEI
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
1
2
03.06.23
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
3
2
28.09.22
VEI
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
2
4
Recent Results
AC Oulu
13.06.26
VEI
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
31.05.26
VEI
AC Oulu
Jaro
2
1
W
23.05.26
VEI
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
W
16.05.26
VEI
AC Oulu
TPS
1
0
W
08.05.26
VEI
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
L
02.05.26
VEI
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
25.04.26
VEI
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
L
22.04.26
VEI
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
L
18.04.26
VEI
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
15.04.26
CUP
AC Oulu
Jaro
1
2
L
Mariehamn
13.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
30.05.26
VEI
HJK
Mariehamn
1
0
L
26.05.26
CUP
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
1
L
23.05.26
VEI
Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
L
16.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
13.05.26
CUP
Mariehamn
PuiU
3
0
W
10.05.26
VEI
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
02.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
28.04.26
CUP
HPS
Mariehamn
1
2
W
25.04.26
VEI
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, AC Oulu host Mariehamn in Finland Veikkausliiga. Our analysis points to AC Oulu to win as the standout bet.

AC Oulu come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Mariehamn are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, AC Oulu have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Mariehamn, who have taken 4 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, ac oulu to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Finland Veikkausliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.28. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
Our top pick is 1 — AC Oulu to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 50%.
What is AC Oulu's recent form?
AC Oulu have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Mariehamn been performing?
Mariehamn: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
AC Oulu 5 wins vs Mariehamn's 4, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.