Tip WON  ·  Lyon W 3-1 Montpellier W
🏆 Premiere Ligue Women 📅 Wednesday, 6th May 2026
LYO
Lyon W
W D L W W
3-1
VS
MON
Montpellier W
W L W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Lyon W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
~60% implied
Confidence
70%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Lyon W to win @1.26
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-19.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 79.4% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -19.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Lyon W
W D L W W W D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Montpellier W
W L W L L D L L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Lyon W10W
Draw0
Montpellier W0W
Supports Tip Lyon W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Lyon W wins6/10
Montpellier W wins2/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals4
Supports Tip Lyon W: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Lyon W form
2-2-6
Montpellier W form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Lyon W
Overall
6.6
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
Montpellier W
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
Key Analytics
Lyon W
3
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Montpellier W
1
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
07.11.25
PL
Montpellier W
Lyon
1
5
W
31.01.25
PL
Montpellier W
Lyon
1
4
W
05.10.24
PL
Lyon W
Montpellier
4
0
W
21.01.24
PL
Montpellier W
Lyon
1
2
W
14.01.24
COU
Lyon W
Montpellier
4
0
W
10.11.23
PL
Lyon W
Montpellier
5
0
W
28.01.23
COU
Lyon W
Montpellier
2
0
W
21.01.23
PL
Lyon W
Montpellier
2
0
W
23.09.22
PL
Montpellier W
Lyon
1
3
W
22.01.22
PL
Montpellier W
Lyon
2
3
W
Recent Results
Lyon W
02.05.26
CL
Lyon W
Arsenal W
3
1
W
29.04.26
PL
Nantes W
Lyon W
1
1
D
26.04.26
CL
Arsenal W
Lyon W
2
1
L
22.04.26
PL
Lyon W
Dijon W
4
0
W
05.04.26
COU
Strasbourg W
Lyon W
0
6
W
02.04.26
CL
Lyon W
Wolfsburg W
4
0
W
28.03.26
PL
Strasbourg W
Lyon W
2
2
D
24.03.26
CL
Wolfsburg W
Lyon W
1
0
L
21.03.26
PL
Fleury 91 W
Lyon W
0
2
W
18.03.26
COU
Lyon W
Le Havre W
7
0
W
Montpellier W
25.04.26
PL
Montpellier W
St Etienne W
1
0
W
22.04.26
PL
Montpellier W
Paris FC W
0
2
L
28.03.26
PL
Marseille W
Montpellier W
1
2
W
22.03.26
PL
Montpellier W
PSG W
2
3
L
11.03.26
PL
Lens W
Montpellier W
2
1
L
21.02.26
PL
Nantes W
Montpellier W
2
2
D
07.02.26
PL
Montpellier W
Le Havre W
1
2
L
31.01.26
PL
Fleury 91 W
Montpellier W
1
0
L
24.01.26
COU
PSG W
Montpellier W
5
0
L
17.01.26
PL
Montpellier W
Dijon W
1
1
D
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Lyon W host Montpellier W in Premiere Ligue Women. Our analysis points to Lyon W to win as the standout bet.

Lyon W come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Montpellier W are struggling away from home — 2W 2D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Lyon W have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Montpellier W, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 4 goals.

With all factors considered, lyon w to win at 1.26 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Premiere Ligue Women clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.26. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Lyon W vs Montpellier W?
Our top pick is 1 — Lyon W to win at around 1.26. Confidence: 70%.
What is Lyon W's recent form?
Lyon W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Montpellier W been performing?
Montpellier W: 2W 2D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Lyon W 10 wins vs Montpellier W's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org