Tip WON  ·  Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Al Mosul
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Wednesday, 6th May 2026
AL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W D D W W
2-1
VS
AL
Al Mosul
D W D D D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.07
~90% implied
Confidence
96%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1X — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win or draw @1.07
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-3.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 93.5% probability. Our estimate is 90%, a -3.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
W D D W W W D D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Al Mosul
D W D D D D L W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Quwa Al Jawiya6W
Draw1
Al Mosul0W
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya unbeaten in 7 of 7 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins6/10
Al Mosul wins3/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals1.7
Supports Tip Al Quwa Al Jawiya unbeaten in 10 of 10 recent games.
6-4-0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya form
3-6-1
Al Mosul form
43%
H2H BTTS rate
1.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Overall
7.2
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.0
Al Mosul
Overall
4.8
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2.1
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Al Mosul
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
01.02.26
SL
Al Mosul
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
1
04.05.10
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Mosul
2
1
05.01.10
SL
Al Mosul
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
1
15.04.05
SL
Al Mosul
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
1
17.01.05
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Mosul
1
0
14.03.03
SL
Al Mosul
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
1
26.10.02
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Mosul
2
1
Recent Results
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
02.05.26
SL
Al Minaa
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0
2
W
27.04.26
SL
Newroz
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
1
D
23.04.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Erbil
1
1
D
18.04.26
SL
Duhok
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
W
13.04.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Kahraba
3
2
W
09.04.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al-Qassim
5
0
W
05.04.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Naft
0
0
D
31.03.26
SL
Al Shorta
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3
3
D
26.03.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Al Karkh
1
0
W
17.03.26
SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Baghdad
3
1
W
Al Mosul
02.05.26
SL
Al Mosul
Al Gharraf
1
1
D
26.04.26
SL
Diyala
Al Mosul
1
4
W
22.04.26
SL
Al Mosul
Al Naft
0
0
D
17.04.26
SL
Al Mosul
Baghdad
1
1
D
13.04.26
SL
Naft Missan
Al Mosul
1
1
D
09.04.26
SL
Erbil
Al Mosul
2
2
D
03.04.26
SL
Al Mosul
Al Karkh
1
2
L
30.03.26
SL
Al Mosul
Al Kahraba
2
1
W
26.03.26
SL
Al-Karma
Al Mosul
1
1
D
22.03.26
SL
Al Mosul
Zakho
2
0
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al Mosul in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win or draw as the standout bet.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Al Mosul are struggling away from home — 3W 6D 1L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 6 of the last 7 meetings against Al Mosul, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 43% of those games, averaging 1.7 goals.

With all factors considered, al quwa al jawiya to win or draw at 1.07 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Iraq Stars League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1X, which offers fantastic value at @1.07. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Mosul?
Our top pick is 1X — Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win or draw at around 1.07. Confidence: 96%.
What is Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent form?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Al Mosul been performing?
Al Mosul: 3W 6D 1L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 6 wins vs Al Mosul's 0, with 1 draws in 7 meetings. Avg 1.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 43%.
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