Tip WON  ·  Villarreal 2-1 Elche
🏆 La Liga 📅 Sunday, 8th March 2026
VIL
Villarreal
L W W L W
2-1
VS
ELC
Elche
D L D L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Villarreal to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.53
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Villarreal to win @1.53
Goals Over 2.5 80%
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 80%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-15.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 65.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -15.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Villarreal
L W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Elche
D L D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Villarreal3W
Draw0
Elche2W
Supports Tip Villarreal won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Villarreal wins3/5
Elche wins0/5
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals3.6
Supports Tip Villarreal: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games.
3-0-2
Villarreal form
0-2-3
Elche form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Villarreal
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.7
Elche
Overall
1.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Villarreal
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Elche
1
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 60%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 60%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ LL (Jan 3, 2026): Elche
Villarreal
1
3
⚽ LL (Feb 4, 2023): Elche
Villarreal
3
1
⚽ LL (Sep 4, 2022): Villarreal
Elche
4
0
⚽ LL (Jan 16, 2022): Elche
Villarreal
1
0
⚽ LL (Sep 22, 2021): Villarreal
Elche
4
1
Recent Results
Villarreal
⚽ LL (Feb 28, 2026): Barcelona
Villarreal
4
1
⚽ LL (Feb 22, 2026): Villarreal
Valencia
2
1
⚽ LL (Feb 18, 2026): Levante
Villarreal
0
1
⚽ LL (Feb 14, 2026): Getafe
Villarreal
2
1
⚽ LL (Feb 9, 2026): Villarreal
Espanyol
4
1
Elche
⚽ LL (Mar 1, 2026): Elche
Espanyol
2
2
⚽ LL (Feb 20, 2026): Ath Bilbao
Elche
2
1
⚽ LL (Feb 13, 2026): Elche
Osasuna
0
0
⚽ LL (Feb 7, 2026): Real Sociedad
Elche
3
1
⚽ LL (Jan 31, 2026): Elche
Barcelona
1
3
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Villarreal host Elche in La Liga. Our analysis points to Villarreal to win as the standout bet.

Villarreal come into this showing mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Elche are struggling away from home — 0W 2D 3L in 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Villarreal have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Elche, who have taken 2 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.6 goals.

With all factors considered, villarreal to win at 1.53 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Villarreal vs Elche?
Our top pick is 1 — Villarreal to win at around 1.53. Confidence: 56%.
What is Villarreal's recent form?
Villarreal have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Elche been performing?
Elche: 0W 2D 3L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Villarreal 3 wins vs Elche's 2, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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