Tip WON  ·  Vikingur Reykjavik 4-0 Vestri
🏆 Iceland Super Cup 📅 Sunday, 29th March 2026
VIK
Vikingur Reykjavik
W W W L D
4-0
VS
VES
Vestri
D L L L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.39
~90% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.39
Goals Over 1.5 95%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+18.1%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 71.9% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +18.1% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 64.4% $644.00
Half Kelly 32.2% $322.00
Quarter Kelly 16.1% $161.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Vikingur Reykjavik
L W L L D W D W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Vestri
D L L L W L D D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Vikingur Reykjavik4W
Draw1
Vestri0W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 3.2).
📈 Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik wins4/10
Vestri wins1/10
Goals per game3.7
H2H avg goals3.2
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 55% of recent games.
4-2-4
Vikingur Reykjavik form
1-3-6
Vestri form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Vikingur Reykjavik
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.0
Vestri
Overall
1.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
0.0
Key Analytics
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Vestri
1.3
Goals
scored/game
3
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
26.08.25
BK: Vikingur Reykjavik
Vestri
4
1
29.05.25
BK: Vestri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
11.08.24
BK: Vikingur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
1
20.05.24
BK: Vestri
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
02.10.21
CUP: Vestri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
3
Recent Results
Vikingur Reykjavik
04.03.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
2
0
W
25.02.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
Throttur
3
1
W
19.02.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
0
W
15.02.26
CUP: KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
0
L
07.02.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
Njardvik
1
1
D
31.01.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
0
W
24.01.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
Fram
1
1
D
19.01.26
CUP: Fjolnir
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
4
W
14.01.26
CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
2
0
W
11.12.25
CUP: Leiknir
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
5
W
Vestri
17.03.26
CUP: Stjarnan
Vestri
2
2
D
28.02.26
CUP: Fram
Vestri
5
2
L
18.02.26
CUP: HK Kópavogur
Vestri
3
2
L
14.02.26
CUP: Vestri
Keflavík
2
3
L
07.02.26
CUP: Ægir
Vestri
1
2
W
25.10.25
BK: Vestri
KR Reykjavik
1
5
L
19.10.25
BK: Afturelding
Vestri
1
1
D
05.10.25
BK: KA Akureyri
Vestri
1
1
D
28.09.25
BK: Vestri
Vestmannaeyjar
0
5
L
20.09.25
BK: Vestri
Akranes
0
4
L
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host Vestri in Iceland Super Cup. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Vikingur Reykjavik come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Vestri are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.3 and conceding 3 per match.

Historically, Vikingur Reykjavik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Vestri, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.39 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Iceland Super Cup clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.39. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Vestri?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.39. Confidence: 72%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's recent form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Vestri been performing?
Vestri: 1W 3D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Vikingur Reykjavik 4 wins vs Vestri's 0, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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