🏆 Copa Do Brasil 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
VAS
Vasco
W W D W L
VS
PAY
Paysandu PA
W W W W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Vasco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Vasco to win @1.28
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-28.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Vasco
W W D W L W W L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
Paysandu PA
W W W W W L D W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Vasco5W
Draw0
Paysandu PA5W
Mixed Vasco won 5 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Vasco wins5/10
Paysandu PA wins6/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals2.5
Mixed Vasco: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.
5-3-2
Vasco form
6-2-2
Paysandu PA form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Vasco
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
Paysandu PA
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.3
Key Analytics
Vasco
1.4
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Paysandu PA
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
Match History
Head to Head
22.04.26
COP
Paysandu PA
Vasco
0
2
05.10.16
SB
Paysandu PA
Vasco
3
1
18.06.16
SB
Vasco
Paysandu PA
0
2
20.11.05
SA
Vasco
Paysandu PA
4
0
10.08.05
SA
Paysandu PA
Vasco
0
2
07.09.04
SA
Vasco
Paysandu PA
0
1
15.05.04
SA
Paysandu PA
Vasco
1
2
05.11.03
SA
Paysandu PA
Vasco
1
2
12.07.03
SA
Vasco
Paysandu PA
0
2
11.09.02
SA
Paysandu PA
Vasco
2
0
Recent Results
Vasco
11.05.26
SA
Vasco
Athletico-PR
1
0
W
06.05.26
COP
A. Italiano
Vasco
1
2
W
03.05.26
SA
Flamengo RJ
Vasco
2
2
D
30.04.26
COP
Vasco
Olimpia Asuncion
3
0
W
26.04.26
SA
Corinthians
Vasco
1
0
L
22.04.26
COP
Paysandu PA
Vasco
0
2
W
18.04.26
SA
Vasco
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
15.04.26
COP
Vasco
A. Italiano
1
2
L
11.04.26
SA
Remo
Vasco
1
1
D
07.04.26
COP
Barracas Central
Vasco
0
0
D
Paysandu PA
09.05.26
SC
Paysandu PA
Anapolis
2
1
W
06.05.26
COP
Aguia De Maraba
Paysandu PA
1
5
W
03.05.26
SC
Paysandu PA
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
29.04.26
COP
Trem
Paysandu PA
0
3
W
25.04.26
SC
Itabaiana
Paysandu PA
1
4
W
22.04.26
COP
Paysandu PA
Vasco
0
2
L
18.04.26
SC
Paysandu PA
Barra FC
1
1
D
15.04.26
COP
Paysandu PA
Independencia
2
1
W
12.04.26
SC
Paysandu PA
Brusque
1
1
D
10.04.26
COP
Nacional-AM
Paysandu PA
7
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Vasco host Paysandu PA in Copa Do Brasil. Our analysis points to Vasco to win as the standout bet.

Vasco come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Paysandu PA are inconsistent on the road — 6W 2D 2L in 10 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, Vasco have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Paysandu PA, who have taken 5 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, vasco to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Copa Do Brasil clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.28. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Vasco vs Paysandu PA?
Our top pick is 1 — Vasco to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 50%.
What is Vasco's recent form?
Vasco have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Paysandu PA been performing?
Paysandu PA: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Vasco 5 wins vs Paysandu PA's 5, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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