Tip WON  ·  UPDF 1-2 Vipers
🏆 Uganda Premier League 📅 Wednesday, 11th March 2026
UPD
UPDF
D L L D L
1-2
VS
VIP
Vipers
W W D D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Vipers to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.41
~50% implied
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Vipers to win @1.41
Goals Under 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-20.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 70.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -20.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
UPDF
D L L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
Vipers
W W D D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
UPDF0W
Draw0
Vipers5W
Supports Tip Vipers won 5 of 5 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
UPDF wins0/5
Vipers wins3/5
Goals per game1.9
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Vipers: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games.
0-2-3
UPDF form
3-2-0
Vipers form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
UPDF
Overall
1.2
Scoring
0.7
Defence
7.3
Vipers
Overall
7.2
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
Key Analytics
UPDF
0.2
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Vipers
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 28%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 42%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ PL (02.12.25): Vipers
UPDF
5
1
⚽ PL (29.04.25): Vipers
UPDF
1
0
⚽ PL (03.01.25): UPDF
Vipers
0
1
⚽ PL (05.04.24): Vipers
UPDF
2
1
⚽ PL (03.12.23): UPDF
Vipers
0
1
Recent Results
UPDF
⚽ PL (06.03.26): UPDF
Kitara
1
1
⚽ PL (03.03.26): NEC FC
UPDF
1
0
⚽ PL (18.02.26): Lugazi
UPDF
1
0
⚽ PL (13.02.26): UPDF
Buhimba
0
0
⚽ PL (30.01.26): UPDF
BUL
0
1
Vipers
⚽ PL (07.03.26): Mbarara City
Vipers
1
2
⚽ PL (03.03.26): Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
⚽ PL (17.02.26): Vipers
NEC FC
1
1
⚽ PL (13.02.26): BUL
Vipers
1
1
⚽ PL (30.01.26): Vipers
Buhimba
4
0
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, UPDF host Vipers in Uganda Premier League. Our analysis points to Vipers to win as the standout bet.

UPDF come into this going through a difficult run, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 0.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Vipers are inconsistent on the road — 3W 2D 0L in 5 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per match.

Historically, UPDF have won 0 of the last 5 meetings against Vipers, who have taken 5 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, vipers to win at 1.41 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for UPDF vs Vipers?
Our top pick is 2 — Vipers to win at around 1.41. Confidence: 66%.
What is UPDF's recent form?
UPDF have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 — poor form.
How has Vipers been performing?
Vipers: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
UPDF 0 wins vs Vipers's 5, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org