Tip WON  ·  Turkey 1-0 Romania
🏆 Euro World Cup Qualifier 📅 Thursday, 26th March 2026
TUR
Turkey
D W W W L
1-0
VS
ROM
Romania
W L W W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Turkey to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.39
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Turkey to win @1.39
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -21.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Turkey
D W W W L W L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
Romania
W L W W D L W L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Turkey4W
Draw0
Romania6W
Against Turkey won 4 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Turkey wins7/10
Romania wins5/10
Goals per game3.8
H2H avg goals2.5
Supports Tip Turkey: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
Turkey form
5-1-4
Romania form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Turkey
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.0
Romania
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Turkey
2.5
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Romania
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
09.11.17
FI: Romania
Turkey
2
0
10.09.13
WC: Romania
Turkey
0
2
12.10.12
WC: Turkey
Romania
0
1
11.08.10
FI: Turkey
Romania
2
0
22.08.07
FI: Romania
Turkey
2
1
13.11.85
WC: Turkey
Romania
1
3
02.04.85
WC: Romania
Turkey
3
0
23.10.65
WC: Turkey
Romania
2
1
02.05.65
WC: Romania
Turkey
3
0
26.04.59
EUR: Turkey
Romania
2
0
Recent Results
Turkey
18.11.25
WCQ: Spain
Turkey
2
2
D
15.11.25
WCQ: Turkey
Bulgaria
2
0
W
14.10.25
WCQ: Turkey
Georgia
4
1
W
11.10.25
WCQ: Bulgaria
Turkey
1
6
W
07.09.25
WCQ: Turkey
Spain
0
6
L
04.09.25
WCQ: Georgia
Turkey
2
3
W
11.06.25
FI: Mexico
Turkey
1
0
L
07.06.25
FI: USA
Turkey
1
2
W
23.03.25
UNL: Hungary
Turkey
0
3
W
20.03.25
UNL: Turkey
Hungary
3
1
W
Romania
18.11.25
WCQ: Romania
San Marino
7
1
W
15.11.25
WCQ: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
3
1
L
12.10.25
WCQ: Romania
Austria
1
0
W
09.10.25
FI: Romania
Moldova
2
1
W
09.09.25
WCQ: Cyprus
Romania
2
2
D
05.09.25
FI: Romania
Canada
0
3
L
10.06.25
WCQ: Romania
Cyprus
2
0
W
07.06.25
WCQ: Austria
Romania
2
1
L
24.03.25
WCQ: San Marino
Romania
1
5
W
21.03.25
WCQ: Romania
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Turkey host Romania in Euro World Cup Qualifier. Our analysis points to Turkey to win as the standout bet.

Turkey come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Romania are inconsistent on the road — 5W 1D 4L in 10 games, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Turkey have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Romania, who have taken 6 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, turkey to win at 1.39 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Euro World Cup Qualifier clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.39. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Turkey vs Romania?
Our top pick is 1 — Turkey to win at around 1.39. Confidence: 53%.
What is Turkey's recent form?
Turkey have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Romania been performing?
Romania: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Turkey 4 wins vs Romania's 6, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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