🏆 Iceland Besta deild karla 📅 Saturday, 7th February 2026 ⏰ 6:00 pm 📍 Thorsvollur (Akureyri) ⏳ —
THO
Thor Akureyri
L D L L L
VS
KR
KR Reykjavik
L W L W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing KR Reykjavik to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~50% implied
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — KR Reykjavik to win @1.28
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-28.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Thor Akureyri
L D L L L L L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
KR Reykjavik
L W L W W L D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Thor Akureyri2W
Draw0
KR Reykjavik8W
Supports Tip KR Reykjavik won 8 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Thor Akureyri wins2/10
KR Reykjavik wins5/10
Goals per game4.3
H2H avg goals4.5
Mixed KR Reykjavik: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
2-1-7
Thor Akureyri form
5-1-4
KR Reykjavik form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
4.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Thor Akureyri
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
1.7
KR Reykjavik
Overall
5.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
1.7
Key Analytics
Thor Akureyri
0.8
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
KR Reykjavik
2.8
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 47%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Match History
Head to Head
17.04.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
5
2
02.03.24
CUP
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
4
0
27.02.21
CUP
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
0
4
09.04.17
CUP
KR Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
4
1
04.10.14
BK
KR Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
4
1
10.07.14
BK
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
2
0
07.08.13
BK
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
1
3
16.05.13
BK
KR Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
3
0
16.03.13
CUP
KR Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
8
0
18.08.11
BK
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
1
2
Recent Results
Thor Akureyri
28.06.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Valur
2
4
L
21.06.26
BK
Hafnarfjordur
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
14.06.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Vestmannaeyjar
1
4
L
31.05.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
22.05.26
BK
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
L
17.05.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Akranes
1
2
L
08.05.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
6
0
L
02.05.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
27.04.26
BK
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
L
23.04.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Fram
1
0
W
KR Reykjavik
28.06.26
BK
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
L
22.06.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Akranes
5
3
W
16.06.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
L
31.05.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
5
3
W
26.05.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Valur
3
1
W
22.05.26
BK
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
L
17.05.26
BK
KR Reykjavik
Fram
2
2
D
13.05.26
CUP
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
1
L
08.05.26
BK
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
W
02.05.26
BK
Valur
KR Reykjavik
1
4
W
Venue Records
Thor Akureyri at Home
28.06.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Valur
2
4
L
14.06.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Vestmannaeyjar
1
4
L
31.05.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
17.05.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Akranes
1
2
L
02.05.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
23.04.26
BK
Thor Akureyri
Fram
1
0
W
04.04.26
CUP
Thor Akureyri
Hafnarfjordur
2
4
L
17.03.26
CUP
Thor Akureyri
Fylkir
0
2
L
10.03.26
CUP
Thor Akureyri
Valur
5
1
W
04.03.26
CF
Thor Akureyri
Moss
3
2
W
KR Reykjavik Away
28.06.26
BK
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
L
16.06.26
BK
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
L
22.05.26
BK
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
L
13.05.26
CUP
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
1
L
08.05.26
BK
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
W
02.05.26
BK
Valur
KR Reykjavik
1
4
W
23.04.26
BK
Vestmannaeyjar
KR Reykjavik
2
6
W
21.03.26
CUP
Fylkir
KR Reykjavik
4
4
L
14.03.26
CUP
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
0
4
W
19.02.26
CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 7th February 2026, Thor Akureyri host KR Reykjavik at Thorsvollur (Akureyri) in Iceland Besta deild karla. Our analysis points to KR Reykjavik to win as the standout bet.

Thor Akureyri come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game.

KR Reykjavik are inconsistent on the road — 5W 1D 4L in 10 games, scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.5 per match.

Historically, Thor Akureyri have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against KR Reykjavik, who have taken 8 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 4.5 goals.

With all factors considered, kr reykjavik to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Iceland Besta deild karla fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Thorsvollur (Akureyri) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 2 at @1.28, which we make roughly a 20,30,50% shout. Kick-off is 6:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?
Our top pick is 2 — KR Reykjavik to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 58%.
What is Thor Akureyri's recent form?
Thor Akureyri have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has KR Reykjavik been performing?
KR Reykjavik: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Thor Akureyri 2 wins vs KR Reykjavik's 8, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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