Tip WON  ·  Tartu Welco 4-2 Nomme Kalju U21
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Thursday, 28th May 2026
TAR
Tartu Welco
W D L W D
4-2
VS
NOM
Nomme Kalju U21
D W W L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Tartu Welco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.22
~50% implied
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Tartu Welco to win @1.22
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-32%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -32% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Tartu Welco
W D L W D L W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
Nomme Kalju U21
D W W L W W L L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Tartu Welco9W
Draw0
Nomme Kalju U211W
Supports Tip Tartu Welco won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Tartu Welco wins6/10
Nomme Kalju U21 wins4/10
Goals per game4
H2H avg goals5
Supports Tip Tartu Welco: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Tartu Welco form
4-2-4
Nomme Kalju U21 form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.0
Nomme Kalju U21
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.3
Key Analytics
Tartu Welco
2.5
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Nomme Kalju U21
1.7
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
23.10.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
5
2
19.07.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
3
19.06.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
0
1
01.05.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
4
24.09.23
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
3
4
03.07.23
ESB
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
29.05.23
ESB
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
5
2
02.04.23
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
0
4
15.10.22
ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
4
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
24.05.26
ESI
Maardu
Tartu Welco
0
1
W
17.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
3
3
D
09.05.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
01.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
W
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
D
23.04.26
ESI
Viimsi JK
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
17.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
W
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
W
03.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Tartu Welco
1
3
W
21.03.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Maardu
5
1
W
Nomme Kalju U21
16.05.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Viimsi JK
1
1
D
11.05.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Levadia U21
1
0
W
02.05.26
ESI
Elva
Nomme Kalju U21
2
4
W
27.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tallinna Kalev
0
4
L
24.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U21
Nomme Kalju U21
0
3
W
18.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Maardu
3
2
W
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
L
04.04.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Nomme Kalju U21
6
3
L
19.03.26
ESI
Flora U21
Nomme Kalju U21
3
1
L
14.03.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Viimsi JK
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Tartu Welco host Nomme Kalju U21 in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysis points to Tartu Welco to win as the standout bet.

Tartu Welco come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Nomme Kalju U21 are inconsistent on the road — 4W 2D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.3 per match.

Historically, Tartu Welco have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Nomme Kalju U21, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 5 goals.

With all factors considered, tartu welco to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Esiliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.22. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21?
Our top pick is 1 — Tartu Welco to win at around 1.22. Confidence: 63%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Nomme Kalju U21 been performing?
Nomme Kalju U21: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Tartu Welco 9 wins vs Nomme Kalju U21's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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