Tip WON Tartu Welco 4-2 Nomme Kalju U21
Match Programme Thursday, 28th May 2026
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga
TN
T
Tartu Welco
W D L W D
4
VS
N
Nomme Kalju U21
D W W L W
2
Expert Selection
1
Backing Tartu Welco to win
Score 2-1 8.4%
Odds
1.22
Confidence
63%
SOLID PICK
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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Page 2
⚡ Supporting Bets
Additional Angles
Primary Selection
1Tartu Welco to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Page 3
🎲 Betting Angles at a Glance
Key Stats For Bettors
Value Assessment — Our Probability vs Market Odds
Our Probability
50%
Analyst estimate
Market Implied
82%
From odds 1.22
Overpriced
-32%
Market prices this higher
65%
Over 2.5
Goals Rate
60%
BTTS Rate
Recent
60%
H2H BTTS
Rate
5
H2H Avg
Goals/Game
Page 4
⚔ Head to Head
Historical Record
9
Tartu Welco
0
Draws
1
Nomme Kalju U21
Supports Bet Tartu Welco won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
Page 5
📊 Statistical Comparison
Performance Data
Tartu Welco
Stat
Nomme Kalju U21
2.5
Goals Per Game
1.7
1.5
Conceded Per Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
60%
40%
Page 6
📈 Form Ratings
Analyst Grades
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.0
Nomme Kalju U21
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.3
Page 7
🎯 Score Predictions
Poisson Model
Based on both teams' goals-per-game averages. Probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.
Top Pick
2-1
8.4% probability
Alternative 1
1-1
7% probability
Alternative 2
2-2
6.8% probability
Page 8
🔀 Combination Markets
Probability Estimates
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No20%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes20%
Away Win & BTTS No13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.533%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
Page 9
📜 Match Archive
Results Log
Head to Head
11.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
1
Tartu Welco
5
23.10.25ESI
Tartu Welco
5
Nomme Kalju U21
2
19.07.25ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
0
Tartu Welco
3
19.06.25ESI
Tartu Welco
0
Nomme Kalju U21
1
01.05.25ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
0
Tartu Welco
4
24.09.23ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
3
Tartu Welco
4
03.07.23ESB
Tartu Welco
4
Nomme Kalju U21
2
29.05.23ESB
Tartu Welco
5
Nomme Kalju U21
2
02.04.23ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
0
Tartu Welco
4
15.10.22ESB
Nomme Kalju U21
1
Tartu Welco
4
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
24.05.26ESI
Maardu
0
Tartu Welco
1
W
17.05.26ESI
Tartu Welco
3
Flora U21
3
D
09.05.26ESI
Tallinna Kalev
2
Tartu Welco
0
L
01.05.26ESI
FC Tallinn
0
Tartu Welco
2
W
27.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco
3
Elva
3
D
23.04.26ESI
Viimsi JK
2
Tartu Welco
0
L
17.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco
3
Levadia U21
2
W
11.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
1
Tartu Welco
5
W
03.04.26ESI
Nomme Utd U21
1
Tartu Welco
3
W
21.03.26ESI
Tartu Welco
5
Maardu
1
W
Nomme Kalju U21
16.05.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
1
Viimsi JK
1
D
11.05.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
1
Levadia U21
0
W
02.05.26ESI
Elva
2
Nomme Kalju U21
4
W
27.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
0
Tallinna Kalev
4
L
24.04.26ESI
Nomme Utd U21
0
Nomme Kalju U21
3
W
18.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
3
Maardu
2
W
11.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
1
Tartu Welco
5
L
04.04.26ESI
FC Tallinn
6
Nomme Kalju U21
3
L
19.03.26ESI
Flora U21
3
Nomme Kalju U21
1
L
14.03.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
0
Viimsi JK
0
D
Page 10
📝 Expert Analysis
Match Preview

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, Tartu Welco host Nomme Kalju U21 in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysts back Tartu Welco to win as the standout selection.

Tartu Welco arrive showing mixed form: 6W 2D 2L from 10 matches, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Nomme Kalju U21 are inconsistent on the road: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.

H2H: Tartu Welco lead with 9 wins vs Nomme Kalju U21's 1, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. BTTS in 60% of those games.

Verdict: tartu welco to win at 1.22 is our best value angle for this fixture.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Esiliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.22. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Page 11
❓ Common Questions
Bettor FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21?
Selection: 1 — Tartu Welco to win at ~1.22. Confidence: 63%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
How has Nomme Kalju U21 been performing?
Nomme Kalju U21: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
What does the H2H record show?
Tartu Welco 9W vs Nomme Kalju U21 1W, 0 draws in 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Average 4 goals/game. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.