Tip WON  ·  Tartu Welco 4-0 FC Tallinn
🏆 Estonia Esiliiga 📅 Saturday, 13th June 2026
TAR
Tartu Welco
W W W D L
4-0
VS
FC
FC Tallinn
W D L D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Tartu Welco to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.25
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Tartu Welco to win @1.25
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-30%
edge
No Value
Market implies 80% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -30% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Tartu Welco
W W W D L W D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
FC Tallinn
W D L D L L W D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Tartu Welco6W
Draw3
FC Tallinn1W
Supports Tip Tartu Welco won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Tartu Welco wins6/10
FC Tallinn wins2/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals3.7
Supports Tip Tartu Welco: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Tartu Welco form
2-3-5
FC Tallinn form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
3.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.0
FC Tallinn
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.0
Key Analytics
Tartu Welco
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
FC Tallinn
1
Goals
scored/game
2.1
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
01.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
21.09.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
FC Tallinn
2
2
23.08.25
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
05.07.25
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
1
5
29.03.25
ESI
Tartu Welco
FC Tallinn
3
1
26.01.25
CF
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
5
3
03.11.24
ESI
Tartu Welco
FC Tallinn
1
1
20.08.24
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
1
3
14.06.24
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
1
1
16.03.24
ESI
Tartu Welco
FC Tallinn
3
0
Recent Results
Tartu Welco
01.06.26
ESI
Elva
Tartu Welco
0
2
W
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Nomme Kalju U21
4
2
W
24.05.26
ESI
Maardu
Tartu Welco
0
1
W
17.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Flora U21
3
3
D
09.05.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
01.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
W
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Elva
3
3
D
23.04.26
ESI
Viimsi JK
Tartu Welco
2
0
L
17.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco
Levadia U21
3
2
W
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
Tartu Welco
1
5
W
FC Tallinn
01.06.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U21
FC Tallinn
1
3
W
28.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Maardu
0
0
D
24.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Viimsi JK
0
2
L
14.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev
1
1
D
07.05.26
ESI
Elva
FC Tallinn
2
0
L
01.05.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Tartu Welco
0
2
L
27.04.26
ESI
FC Tallinn
Levadia U21
4
2
W
23.04.26
ESI
Maardu
FC Tallinn
1
1
D
16.04.26
ESI
Viimsi JK
FC Tallinn
5
1
L
10.04.26
ESI
Flora U21
FC Tallinn
5
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Tartu Welco host FC Tallinn in Estonia Esiliiga. Our analysis points to Tartu Welco to win as the standout bet.

Tartu Welco come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

FC Tallinn are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 2.1 per match.

Historically, Tartu Welco have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against FC Tallinn, who have taken 1 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 3.7 goals.

With all factors considered, tartu welco to win at 1.25 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Esiliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.25. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Tartu Welco vs FC Tallinn?
Our top pick is 1 — Tartu Welco to win at around 1.25. Confidence: 56%.
What is Tartu Welco's recent form?
Tartu Welco have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has FC Tallinn been performing?
FC Tallinn: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Tartu Welco 6 wins vs FC Tallinn's 1, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.